Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 1, 2024

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Jan 01 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Jan 01 2024 – 12Z Wed Jan 03 2024

…Quiet and generally mild pattern across the country will mean minimal
weather-related disruptions New Year’s Day…

…Widespread showers and thunderstorms for eastern Texas into the Lower
Mississippi Valley late Tuesday…

…Unsettled weather to arrive across California and the Pacific Northwest
Tuesday…

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 31, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Dec 31 2023
Valid 12Z Sun Dec 31 2023 – 12Z Tue Jan 02 2024

…Quiet pattern means little weather-related disruptions for most of the
country for New Year’s Eve festivities…

…Clipper system brings light wintry mix to parts of the Midwest, Central
Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic…

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report

Status of Western Water Reservoirs: December 30, 2023

I used to report on Reservoir Levels.  The article this evening is a second attempt at doing this. I have now been able to include New Mexico information.

It contains a lot of information. I will be republishing this article periodically and adding and improving to it. What I am providing today has images that should update automatically. But I also have provided links to those images and additional information.

At this point, it is far from perfect but a start. It is particularly important because in many cases the water in reservoirs comes from last year’s precipitation. So with uncertainty as to how this El Nino winter will evolve, we need to monitor the amount of water we have in storage.

Let’s get started.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 30, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Dec 30 2023
Valid 12Z Sat Dec 30 2023 – 12Z Mon Jan 01 2024

…Moderate to locally heavy rainfall continues for the West Coast
Saturday; accumulating snowfall for the Sierras…

…Light wintry mix forecast for New England, the Appalachians, and
portions of the Midwest…

…Cooler temperatures and chilly morning lows for the Southeast…

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 29, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Dec 29 2023
Valid 12Z Fri Dec 29 2023 – 12Z Sun Dec 31 2023

…Pacific storm system brings locally heavy rain to California Friday;
moderate to heavy snow forecast for the Sierras Saturday…

…Wintry mix expected for the Interior Northeast/New England, with some
accumulating ice and snow in Maine…

…Above average temperatures forecast for most of the country Friday and
Saturday; cooler temperatures and chilly morning lows for the Southeast…

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 28, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

We start with the U.S. Information. That is the longest part of the article. Then we have a short section on World Weather and then we address the Tropics. When there are tropical storms that might impact the U.S.  we provide more detailed information which updates frequently on those storms.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report as I have moved the highlights into the body of the report where it is followed by the Today, Tomorrow and the Next Day maps and a lot more. I will try to feature the most important graphic in the lede paragraph on the home page.  But there are often multiple maps that are very important so it is best to read the full article. We now have a snow report and it is possible to get a ten-day NWS forecast for the zip code of your choice.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 27, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

We start with the U.S. Information. That is the longest part of the article. Then we have a short section on World Weather and then we address the Tropics. When there are tropical storms that might impact the U.S.  we provide more detailed information which updates frequently on those storms.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report as I have moved the highlights into the body of the report where it is followed by the Today, Tomorrow and the Next Day maps and a lot more. I will try to feature the most important graphic in the lede paragraph on the home page.  But there are often multiple maps that are very important so it is best to read the full article. We now have a snow report and it is possible to get a ten-day NWS forecast for the zip code of your choice.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 26, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

We start with the U.S. Information. That is the longest part of the article. Then we have a short section on World Weather and then we address the Tropics. When there are tropical storms that might impact the U.S.  we provide more detailed information which updates frequently on those storms.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report as I have moved the highlights into the body of the report where it is followed by the Today, Tomorrow and the Next Day maps and a lot more. I will try to feature the most important graphic in the lede paragraph on the home page.  But there are often multiple maps that are very important so it is best to read the full article. We now have a snow report and it is possible to get a ten-day NWS forecast for the zip code of your choice.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 25, 2023

Click HERE for the 10-Day Forecast for North Pole Alaska.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

We start with the U.S. Information. That is the longest part of the article. Then we have a short section on World Weather and then we address the Tropics. When there are tropical storms that might impact the U.S.  we provide more detailed information which updates frequently on those storms.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report as I have moved the highlights into the body of the report where it is followed by the Today, Tomorrow and the Next Day maps and a lot more. I will try to feature the most important graphic in the lede paragraph on the home page.  But there are often multiple maps that are very important so it is best to read the full article. We now have a snow report and it is possible to get a ten-day NWS forecast for the zip code of your choice.

23 States File an Amici Curiae Brief Objecting to the Intervention of the United States in the Supreme Court Case: Texas, Plaintiff v. New Mexico and Colorado: Article Posted December 24, 2023

What is the meaning of this and what are the Implications?

The case is No. 220141 

Texas, Plaintiff
v.
New Mexico and Colorado
Docketed: January 10, 2013

You can track the filings HERE and perhaps better yet HERE.

It is winding to a close and in my opinion the only result is that two Special Masters and a lot of attorneys have made a lot of money. But that is a different topic and I will write an article on the case when the Supreme Court makes its final decision.

The topic of this article is the Amici Curiae (Amici is the plural of Amicus) Brief by 23 states which is presented in its entirety in the body of this article. Some may have to click on “read more” to access the body of the article with the full filing.

Normally under Article III, Section 2, Clause 2 of the U.S. Constitution. only states are parties to a dispute among states.

In all Cases affecting Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, and those in which a State shall be Party, the supreme Court shall have original Jurisdiction.

Due to what IMO was a misstep by the New Mexico Attorney General, The U.S. Solicitor General was asked to comment on whether the Supreme Court should give Texas the right to bring this case and this then led to the U.S. requesting the right to be an Intervenor and that right was granted.

Intervening is entry into a lawsuit by a third party into an existing civil case that was not named as an original party but has a personal stake in the outcome. The non-party who intervenes in a case is called an intervenor. But they are not a party to the case. It is a subtle difference but an important difference.

Recently the Parties to this case agreed on a settlement but the the U.S., an intervenor has objected to the settlement.  The disposition of that objection has yet to be decided.

23 States not involved in the litigation have submitted an Amici Curiae Brief sharing with the court their belief that the objections of the U.S. should be rejected.

So this raises two questions among others:

A. Why do they care?

B. What are the implications of their objection being accepted or rejected?

I am not an attorney. The full Amici Curiae brief is in the body of this article. But I will try to extract from that brief some of the objections raised to the U.S. intervening in disputes among states especially when they involve river compacts. The quotes below in many cases are from within a paragraph in the Brief so the line breaks may be different than in the Brief.

If a dispute arises regarding an interstate water
compact, the state parties to thecompact have the
authority to resolve these disputes among themselves.
State sovereignty and principles offederalism prevent
undue interference from theUnited States when the
United States is not a party to the compact.

The United States asserts an expanded federal
role in interstate water compact disputes
that, if accepted by the Court, would result
in the ability of the United States to insert itself into
the equitable apportionment and governance of water
among the States. Amici States have a strong interest
in avoiding that result.

States entering into compacts must have the abil-
ity to comply with, interpret, enforce, and defend their
negotiated agreements on behalf of their citizens with-
out undue interference from the United States.

The United States has no role in the
administration of state water to meet compact
obligations. The administration and distribution of
state water is a “core attribute of state sovereignty.”

In entering into interstate water compacts, States
do not presume that they are waiving or limiting their
sovereign rights with respect to the United States. It
is a “well-established principle that States do not
easily cede their sovereign powers,” and silence is not
construed as a waiver of sovereignty.

Unless a compacting State expressly cedes its
sovereign authority, the United States does not have
a role in the management of state water, including the
interpretation or enforcement of interstate water
compacts.

The United States cannot and should not be able
to interfere with the sovereign authority of the States
to manage their water by pursuing compact claims or
an apportionment of water that is different than that
agreed to by compacting States. Accordingly, to the ex-
tent the United States participates in the administra-
tion or use of state water, it must comply with state
law.

The United States’ Federal Water Project Does
Not Expand Its Limited Role in This Interstate
Water Compact Dispute.

In limited circumstances, the Court may permit
the federal government to intervene in compact suits
to defend “distinctively federal interests.” Texas, 583
U.S. at 413 (quoting Maryland, 451 U.S. at 745, n.21).
But such limited intervention does not include
authority to determine the apportionment of water
between States or management of water within
States.

Specifically, the United States seeks to insert itself
into the division of water among the States and into
the governance of state water within the borders of the
States. The United States argues it has a role in
determining Compact compliance regarding the
division of water between New Mexico and Texas and
in the appropriation and use of groundwater in New
Mexico.

The Court should reject the United States’ attempt
to expand its power in this way. If the Court accepts
the United States’ argument, the inevitable result
will be further efforts by the United States to insert
itself into the interpretation and enforcement of
other interstate water compacts. The Court should
reject this obvious affront to federalism and
States’ sovereign powers.

Nor can the United States justify its role in the
enforcement or interpretation of compact terms be-
cause there is a federal water project associated with
the Compact. See Exception at 30–34. Federal water
projects do not supersede interstate water compacts or
the States’ authority to manage their water to meet
compact obligations. The mere existence of a federal
water project associated with compact water does not
give the United States a role in the division of water
between States or in enforcing or interpreting terms
of an interstate water compact to which the United
States is not a party.
.
Federal law requires the United States to
comply with state law relating to the control,
appropriation, and distribution of water in federal
water projects.
.
This provision requires the federal government, in
operating reclamation projects, to comply with state
water law and state water allocations. Water stored in
federal water projects must be appropriated and man-
aged subject to state law. Further, through the
McCarran Amendment, the United States has waived
its sovereign immunity and defers to state law regard-
ing the determination and administration of water
rights for federal reclamation projects. 43 U.S.C.
§ 666. The fact that water subject to a compact is also
associated with a federal water project does not dimin-
ish the sovereign authority of the State parties to the
compact or give the United States expanded control
over the compact terms or distribution of water under
the compact.
.
That does not mean, however, that the United
States is without recourse. If the United States has a
claim regarding water appropriated to it in relation to
a federal water project, the United States, like all
other water right holders, may turn to state courts to
protect project water rights.
The existence of a federal water project does not
give the United States authority to interpose its pre-
ferred interpretation or enforcement of interstate wa-
ter compact terms.
I do not know if I have done a good job of selecting the best excerpts from the filing but the full filing is in the body of this article. I suggest that those interested in this subject read it. One way of looking at the arguments in this Amici Curiae filing is a separation of powers argument. It is also a Federalism argument.  The Amici argue that it is not up to the U.S. to tell them how to implement agreements reached among states. Congress may ratify these agreements and the U.S. Supreme Court may hear disputes. But the implementation of the agreements is determined by state law not the Federal Government.  Even if there is a Federal Project that is related to or interconnected with agreements among states, this does not give the Federal Government the right to interfere in how states implement and enforce their agreements with other states.

 

I am assuming that the Special Master will agree with the arguments made by New Mexico, Colorado and Texas which mirror the arguments made in this Amici Curiae Brief or it may be the other way around and I expect the Supreme Court to accept the recommendations of the Special Master.

 

Doing so would clarify this matter.  If the Special Master does not accept the arguments presented by Colorado,  New Mexico and Texas or if the Supreme Court does not accept the recommendation by the Special Master to accept this interpretation of the role of the Federal Government in the administration of river compacts (and I think it extends to other interstate compacts), it would represent a sea change in the relationship between the states and the Federal Government. The sovereignty of states would be significantly compromised. But there could be some nuances involved.

 

A friend of mine is continually reminding me that much water law in the U.S.  springs from another somewhat related case:  United States v. Rio Grande Dam & Irrigation Co., 174 U.S. 690 (1899)

So this sort of confirms his assessment of the history of water law in the U.S.