July 23: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

July 23, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Searing heat wave to engulf much of the Heartland, Mid-South, and
Northeast Coast this weekend....

...Enhanced Risk for severe storms in the Midwest on Saturday...

...Monsoonal moisture to gradually bring locally heavy rains and isolated
flash flooding across portions of the Southwest into the Southern Rockies
this weekend...

...Critical Fire Weather Risk in eastern Idaho today...

NOAA Issues Four-Season Outlook on July 21, 2022

July 22, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Preparing to Say Goodbye to La Nina, but Not Quite Yet

Today is the third Thursday of the month so right on schedule NOAA has issued what I describe as their Four-Season Outlook. The information released also includes the Early Outlook for the single month of August plus the weather and drought outlook for the next three months.  I present the information issued and try to add context to it. It is quite a challenge for NOAA to address the subsequent month, the subsequent three-month period as well as successive three-month periods for a year or a bit more.

The three-month period Jan/Feb/Mar next year seems to be when the overall precipitation situation improves but for some reason the temperature situation does not and may be worse for several months along parts of the Southern Tier. You can take La Nina out of the forecast, but the warming trend continues. For many parts of CONUS, 2023 will be better than 2022. At least that is what NOAA is predicting right now.

July 22: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

July 22, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Dangerous heat to continue impacting portions of the southwestern,
south-central, and eastern U.S....

...Severe thunderstorms possible across sections of the East Coast and the
Southeast today...

...Monsoonal moisture to bring locally heavy rains and isolated flash
flooding across portions of the Southwest into the southern Rockies...

July 21: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

July 21, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Dangerous heat to continue impacting much of the central and
northeastern United States...

...Severe thunderstorms possible across the Ohio Valley this evening
before shifting into New England and parts of the Southeast on Thursday...

...Persistent monsoonal moisture to bring locally heavy rains and isolated
flash flooding across portions of the Southwest into the southern
Rockies...

July 20: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

July 20, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Dangerous heat to continue through midweek across the south-central
U.S., building into the Northeast on Wednesday...

...Severe thunderstorms possible into portions of the Ohio Valley on
Wednesday and New England on Thursday...

...Monsoonal moisture to bring locally heavy rains and isolated flash
flooding across portions of the Southwest, Great Basin and Southern Rockies...

July 19: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

July 19, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Record Breaking Heat to continue into mid week across the Central and
Southern Plains...

...Severe Thunderstorms possible from portions of the Northern Plain into
the Upper Great Lakes...

...Monsoonal showers to bring locally heavy rains and isolated Flash
Flooding across portions of the Southwest, Great Basin and Southern
Rockies...

...A Fire Weather threat will stretch from the Northern Rockies into the
Northern Great Basin and Central High Plains...

Daily Report for the next 48 hours or a bit more from July 18, 2022 plus access to Tropical Outlooks and Intermediate-term Outlooks

July 18, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Dangerous and record-breaking heat to impact much of the Great Plains...

...Scattered instances of flash flooding and severe thunderstorms possible
throughout the Ohio Valley into tonight before the threat shifts into the
Northeast on Monday...

...Severe weather chances enter the northern Plains on Monday and swing
into the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes by Tuesday...

Daily Report for the next 48 hours or a bit more from July 17, 2022 plus access to Tropical Outlooks and Intermediate-term Outlooks

July 17, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Dangerous record-breaking heat to continue across the central United
States and parts of the West...

...Scattered flash flooding possible across much of the Ohio Valley on
Sunday, with isolated heavy rainfall forecast across the Southwest through
the beginning of next week...

...Severe weather possible across the northern Plains on Monday...

Friday looking ahead 28 days July 15, 2022

July 16, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a special report on Fridays. When we issue the Seasonal Outlook on the third Thursday, we may sometimes issue the Friday report as an update to the Seasonal Outlook.

When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the predictions do not always work out as predicted but in the article, there are links to obtain updated predictions.

It is not surprising that the forecast is relatively static and not showing much change over the 28-day period. And the dominant characteristic is hot.

Daily Report for the next 48 hours or a bit more from July 16, 2022 plus access to Tropical Outlooks and Intermediate-term Outlooks

July 16, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Dangerous heat to continue across much of the Central and Western
United States...

...Heavy rain and possible flash flooding for portions of the
Intermountain West, Rockies, and Gulf Coast region through tonight, with
severe weather possible across the northern High Plains...

...Instances of flash flooding possible throughout the Ohio Valley on
Sunday...