August 7, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

August 7, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper
Great Lakes to the Northern Plains and from the Mid-Atlantic,
Central/Southern Appalachians, and Ohio Valley into Sunday morning...

...There is a Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper
Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi Valley on Sunday into Monday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Upper
Mississippi Valley through Sunday morning...

...Dangerous heat across parts of the Pacific Northwest, Middle
Mississippi Valley, Central Plains, and Northeast Coast...

August 6, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

August 6, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Monsoonal rains over the western U.S. expected to shift eastward as
thunderstorms ahead of a cold front could bring heavy rain into the upper
Midwest on Saturday...

...Heat expected to spread across the northern tier while remaining in
place over the Northeast for the next couple of days...

...Cool air spreading into the Pacific Northwest will lower the fire
threat across the northern Rockies to the northern High Plains...



















	




	
	

		August 5, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also	





		
			
		
		August 5, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.


...Monsoonal rains over the western U.S. expected to shift eastward as
thunderstorms ahead of a cold front could bring heavy rain into the upper
Midwest on Saturday...

...Heat expected to spread across the northern tier while remaining in
place over the Northeast for the next couple of days...

...Cool air spreading into the Pacific Northwest will lower the fire
threat across the northern Rockies to the northern High Plains...






















	




	
	

		August 4, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also	





		
			
		
		August 4, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.


...Monsoonal rains across the Southwest is forecast to expand northward by
Friday as heavy rain and possibly severe thunderstorms move across the
Great Lakes/Midwest through tonight...

...Heat is expected to build across the northern Plains and the Northeast
for the next couple of days...

...Fire Weather Threat to continue from the Northwest into the northern
High Plains..




















	




	
	

		August 3, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also	





		
			
		
		August 3, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.


...Monsoonal Rains to continue across much of the Southwest U.S. as heavy
rain and possibly severe thunderstorms move across the Great Lakes/Midwest
during the next couple of days...

...Some relief from the prolonged heatwave across the Northwest but record
high temperatures are possible on Thursday over the northern High Plains
and parts of the Northeast...

...Fire Weather Threat to continue from the Northwest into the northern
High Plains..




















	




	
	

		NOAA Updates their August 2022 Outlook on July 31, 2022	





		
			
		
		August 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Short-term improvement in drought for August.


At the end of every month, NOAA updates their Outlook for the following month which in this case is August. They also issue a Drought Outlook for the following month. We are reporting on that tonight.


There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for August and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading. We highlighted some of the important changes within the NOAA Discussion.


Of significant interest is the Drought Outlook for August. It is a big improvement but unfortunately, it probably is a one-month event. We have also included four months of Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks and also a map showing the year-to-date precipitation in the West. We also included a Monsoon related Podcast that is very interesting.



















	




	
	

		August 2, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also	





		
			
		
		August 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.


...Heavy Rains and Flash Flooding possible across the Central
Appalachians...

...Monsoonal Rains to continue across much of the Southwest U.S., posing a
Flash Flood risk...

...Some Relief from Record High Temperatures across the Northwest...

...Fire Weather Threat to continue from the Northwest into the Northern
High Plains..




















	




	
	

		August 1, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also	





		
			
		
		August 1, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.


...Heavy rain is likely to continue the flash flood risk over the southern
Mid-Atlantic, central/southern Appalachians, and into parts of the
Ohio/Tennessee Valley through this evening...

...Anomalous monsoonal moisture over the Southwest to continue the threat
of flash flooding over the next few days...

...Some severe thunderstorms will be possible across the Upper Midwest
this evening and into the Ohio Valley on Monday, before returning to the
Upper Midwest on Tuesday...

...Excessive heat persists over the Pacific Northwest on Monday, while
spreading into the northern Plains to start the month of August...




















	




	
	

		July 31: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also	





		
			
		
		July 31, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.


...Heavy rainfall will continue to support broad concerns for flash
flooding from the Southwest U.S. east to the Middle Mississippi Valley,
the Tennessee Valley, and the southern Mid-Atlantic region through
Monday...

...Some severe thunderstorms will be possible across the Upper Midwest
today...

...Excessive heat persists over the Pacific Northwest and the northern
Great Basin through the weekend...




















	




	
	

		July 29, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus a Review of State Temperature and Precipitation Rankings	





		
			
		
		July 30, 2022Posted inweather1 Comment




	
Northeast Quadrant is predicted to be Hot early in August and then the Heat shifts to the Northwest.


NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a weekly special report on Fridays.


When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted, but in the article there are links to obtain updated forecasts.


We have also taken a look at the state temperature and precipitation rankings for June and Year to Date (YTD). It is not a surprise that they differ.