October 5, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 6, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Conditions finally improving across the Northeast as pesky upper-level
low moves further offshore...

...Plunging temperatures in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi
Valley as a potent cold front begins pushing southward late Wednesday...

...Daily showers and thunderstorms continue for the Southern Rockies and
High Plains, with isolated instances of flash flooding possible...

...Pleasant weather across much of the West through the end of the week...

October 4, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 5, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

  Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Rainy, breezy, and cool conditions persist from the Mid-Atlantic to
southern New England through Wednesday...

...Showers and thunderstorms in the Southwest, with isolated heavy
rainfall...

...Above-average temperatures throughout the Plains and Midwest before a
strong cold front begins pushing southward late Wednesday...

...Pleasant weather across the Pacific Northwest and California through
the end of the week...

October 3, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 4, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Rainy, breezy, and cool conditions expand from Mid-Atlantic to southern
New England coast...

...Showers and thunderstorms expected across much of New Mexico...

...Above average temperatures forecast for the West Coast, Great Plains
and Mississippi Valley...

October 2, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

October 3, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 7:08 p.m. EDT October 3, 2022 to have some of the maps be more up to date.

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but also has links to all the partial-month outlooks. Because WordPress does not provide the ability to have these maps automatically updated, our daily report shows some of the maps which we update each evening plus the links to the other important weather forecast Maps.

Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the next 28 days.

The week 3-4 outlook is only updated by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Service once a week on Friday. Thus, when we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. Since we are publishing this week on Sunday night it is only a 26-day view. This makes very little difference but I mention it simply to be technically correct. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the media and online.

We also include In Part II of the article the other information from the daily 48-hour forecast article. Importantly, this time of the year, it includes updates on tropical events.

It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts If you read this article a few days or more after it is published. And there will be a totally updated version next Friday.

NOAA Updates their October 2022 Outlook on September 30, 2022

October 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

 Drought expands in the Southern and to a lesser extent Central Great Plains. Anomalous wetness centered on Colorado and a cool/wet Mid-Atlantic Region.

At the end of every month, NOAA updates their Outlook for the following month which in this case is October. They also issue a Drought Outlook for the following month. We are reporting on that tonight.

There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for October and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading. We highlighted some of the important changes within the NOAA Discussion.

Of significant interest is the Drought Outlook for October. Tropical activity has eliminated the East Coast Drought but we are beginning the increase in drought for the Great Plains that will likely continue until the end of this La Nina.

We have also included four months of Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks and also a map showing the year-to-date precipitation in the West. We also provide the Week 2/3 Tropical Outlook for the World

October 1, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Central
Appalachians through Sunday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Great
Basin and the Central Rockies from Sunday into Monday morning...

...Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees below average over parts of the
Mid-Atlantic...

September 30. 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 1, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Ian to continue moving inland across the Carolinas this evening,
producing strong winds, heavy rain, and coastal hazards across the
Mid-Atlantic...

...Showers, thunderstorms, and high elevation snow expected across
portions of the Rockies and Southwest...

...Well above average temperatures forecast across the Pacific Northwest...

September 29, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 30, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian forecast to make second landfall in South Carolina Friday
bringing wind, heavy rain, and the threat of severe weather to the
Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic...

...Unseasonably cool temperatures forecast across the Eastern U.S. to
start the weekend...

...Showers and thunderstorms expected across portions of the Rockies,
Great Basin, and Southwest...

September 28, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 29, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Major Hurricane Ian makes landfall on the west coast of Florida, with
catastrophic storm surge, destructive major-hurricane force winds, and
torrential rainfall ongoing...

...Ian's interaction with a front will likely prolong impacts from high
winds, heavy rain, and flooding even for areas further inland through
Thursday...

...Cool and dry weather for the rest of the eastern half of the country
but heavy rain and strong winds from Ian is forecast to edge toward the
Southeast U.S. on Friday...

...Well above average temperatures persist across much of the West, with
excessive heat continuing over parts of southern California, followed by
arrival of rain and cooler temperatures over the Pacific Northwest later
today and into the northern Rockies on Thursday...

September 27, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 28, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of Florida
late Wednesday; slow forward motion of Ian will likely prolong impacts
from high winds, heavy rain, and flooding even for areas further inland...

...Cool weather expected to persist across the Northeast and Great Lakes
through at least mid-week...

...Well above average temperatures across much of the West, with excessive
heat continuing over parts of southern California, followed by arrival of
rain and cooler temperatures over the Pacific Northwest later on
Wednesday...