August 23, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding threats expected across areas of east
Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley over the next two days...

...Above average temperatures to continue from the inland valleys of
California into the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest, while below average
temperatures expected across the South from the Southern Plains into the
Southeast...

Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast (It is updated twice a day and these updates can be found here.

A very wet weather pattern will continue across portions of the southern
U.S. from east Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley over the next few
days.  A surface frontal boundary is forecast to remain stalled across
this region with much above average levels of moisture in the vicinity of
this front.  Active showers and thunderstorms are likely over the next few
days in the vicinity of this front from east Texas into the Lower
Mississippi Valley.  This will bring the likelihood of heavy rains and
flash flooding to these areas.  The expected heavy rains over the next few
days will be to the southeast of areas of north Texas, including the
Dallas-Ft Worth area, that received very heavy rainfall amounts over the
past 24 hours.  Rainfall reports across this region showed numerous totals
of 5-10 inches.  Much of north Texas has seen drought conditions worsen
over the past few months.  While these rains will provide some relief,
rainfall is not expected to return to North Texas for the remainder of the
week.  Areas farther to the southeast of North Texas, however, will see
rainfall totals of 3-5 inches with locally heavier amounts likely over the
next few days.  Flood and flash flood watches are currently our across
these areas.

In addition to the wet weather across portions of the South, temperatures
are also expected to remain below average due to the cloud cover and
rainfall.  There have been a few record cold high temperatures over the
past weekend from New Mexico into northwest and north Texas where it has
been cloudy and wet.  The potential for additional record low maximum
temperatures will continue Monday and Tuesday over east Texas into the
Lower Mississippi Valley.  In contrast , above average temperatures will
continue over the next few days from the interior Valleys of California,
northward into the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest.  However, at the
moment, it appears there will not be any record highs across these
regions.  The hot and dry weather over portions of the Pacific Northwest,
Northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies will also increase the fire
weather threat across these regions.

Maps that relate the forecast to geography can be found by clicking  Here for Day 1 and Here for Day 2.

Here is a 60-hour animated forecast map that shows how the short-term forecast is expected to play out.

If it needs to be updated click here.

HAZARDS OUTLOOKS

Click he   re for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays.  Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images.