This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Jan 28 2025
Valid 12Z Tue Jan 28 2025 – 12Z Thu Jan 30 2025…Locally heavy snow and snow squalls possible for the Great Lakes and
Northeast through Wednesday……Flooding rain and severe thunderstorms possible from the southern
Plains to the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley Wednesday into Thursday……Well above average temperatures expected across much of the Central and
Eastern U.S., while below average temperatures linger in southern
California and the Southwest…A slow moving low pressure system will gradually push east across the
Southwest and into the southern Plains over the next few days. This system
will produce some wintry weather in the Four Corners states, but a lack of
moisture may limit precipitation amounts. The heaviest snow is expected
late tonight through Thursday in the higher elevations in northern New
Mexico and southern Colorado where more than 6 inches of snow could fall.
As the system emerges in the Plains Wednesday into Thursday, it will
trigger widespread showers and thunderstorms from the southern Plains to
the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley. There will be a risk of severe
thunderstorms in Texas, and potential storm hazards could include hail and
damaging wind gusts. Isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding
will also be possible from Central/North Texas to the Mid-Mississippi
Valley, especially in urban and poor drainage areas and places with
training/repeat convection.While the slow low impacts the south-Central U.S., a swift moving Clipper
type low pressure system will swing across the Great Lakes and Northeast,
bringing wintry weather to these regions. A leading cold front will sink
south across the Northeast today, then the main low will dip into the
northern Great Lakes tonight, swing across the northeast on Wednesday, and
push offshore Wednesday night. Snow squalls will be possible as these
features move across the Great Lakes and Northeast, which would create
intense bursts of heavy snowfall with gusty winds, resulting in low
visibility and dangerous driving conditions. Moderate to locally heavy
snow accumulations are expected from the Great Lakes into New England
today through Wednesday.Temperatures will be below average across southern California and the
Southwest under the influence of the upper low, and below average
temperature are also expected across portions of the Great Lakes and
Northeast after a cold front sinks south into these regions today.
Sandwiched between the Southwest and Northeast corners of the nation, much
of the Central and Eastern U.S. will experience well above average
temperatures through Thursday. The highest anomalies will be in the
north-Central U.S. where highs are forecast to be 15-25 degrees above
normal, which could challenge a few daily high temperature records in the
northern Plains and Upper Midwest.
To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.
Notices: What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
We have a new animation of the forecast which shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click ANIMATION. Doing so will get you to the dashboard. You can then step through the animation or hit LOOP on the upper right of the display. You will have to hit the back arrow ← at the top left on your computer to get back into this article. It is a little more trouble than before but I think NOAA scrapped the animation routine I was using so we have to keep up with “progress”.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. That takes you to the NWC Severe Weather Site. From there you can select among many categories of information. Remember to hit the back arrow ← at the top left of your screen to return to this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles. These links may also be useful for those viewing this article on a cell phone or other small screen.
Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
6–
10
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8–
14 |
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3–
4 |
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Daily Agricultural Weather Highlights can be found HERE
Month to Date Information
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittent so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE. Note that unless there is an out-of-season storm the below images will not update until the National Hurricane Center starts their seasonal update of these maps on June 1. I include them simply because there can be an out-of-season event in which case it should show up in these maps.
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I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |