Summary Of the Markets Today:
- The Dow closed up 300 points or 0.77%,
- Nasdaq closed down 0.79%, (Closed at 17,722, New Historic high 17,937)
- S&P 500 closed down 0.25%, (Closed at 5,473, New Historic high 5,506)
- Gold $2,373 up $26.00,
- WTI crude oil settled at $82 up $0.77,
- 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.256 up 0.039 points,
- USD index $105.63 up $0.38,
- Bitcoin $64,999 up $53 or 0.09%
*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing.
Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – June 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Weakened And There Is Another Indicator Warning Of A Recession
Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in May 2024 were 9.5% below May 2023. Privately‐owned housing starts is 19.3% below May 2023. Privately‐owned housing completions were 1.0% above May 2023. But instead of looking at percent change – the overall quantity of completions remains at the high end of completions over the last 4 years (green line on the graph below). The real problem is that the number of houses completed and not sold is very elevated and trending up – see the second graph below.
The Philly Fed June 2024 Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey‘s general activity edged down 3 points to 1.3 (its lowest reading since January) , while the indexes for shipments and new orders remained negative. The employment index increased but remained negative, continuing to suggest an overall decline in employment levels. Both price indexes continued to indicate overall price increases. Manufacturing remains a weak spot in the economy.
In the week ending June 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims 4-week moving average was 232,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised up by 250 from 227,000 to 227,250.
Here are some of headlines we are reading today:
- Brent Closes in on $86 Further Buoyed by Jobs Data
- Russia and Ukraine Trade Drone Strikes on Energy Facilities
- Bank Sees U.S. Shale Growing for Another 4 Years
- Volkswagen’s Secret Project: A Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicle
- China’s Secret Weapon in the Global Copper War
- S&P 500 closes slightly lower after briefly breaching 5,500, Nvidia takes a breather: Live updates
- OpenAI competitor Anthropic announces its most powerful AI yet
- Nvidia tops the individual stock market values of Germany, France and the UK
- Why buy now, pay later debt could become a problem for the U.S. economy
- Bank opens door for August interest rate cut
Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.
The Market in Perspective
Here are the headlines moving the markets. | |
Georgia Explores Closer Ties with Iran as Western Alliances FrayThere was an unannounced guest at Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi’s state funeral in late May. Alongside dignitaries from neighboring states – including Nikol Pashinyan of Armenia and Prime Minister Ali Asadov of Azerbaijan – Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, accompanied by the country’s foreign minister, was in attendance in Tehran. There was no advanced notice of the visit. Georgians learned about it from news reports and government channels the day of the funeral, which described, with little additional… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/Georgia-Explores-Closer-Ties-with-Iran-as-Western-Alliances-Fray.html |
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Canada Labels Iran’s IRGC Terrorist Entity After Flight PS752 TragedyCanada has listed Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist entity and advised any Canadians in Iran to leave the country. Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc made the announcement on June 19 at a news conference in Ottawa, saying the decision to declare the IRGC as a terrorist organization is based on “very strong and convincing evidence.” LeBlanc told reporters that Canada “uses all possible means to fight the terrorist acts of the IRGC.” Foreign Minister Melanie Joly noted at the same news conference that Ottawa broke… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/Canada-Labels-Irans-IRGC-Terrorist-Entity-After-Flight-PS752-Tragedy.html |
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Brent Closes in on $86 Further Buoyed by Jobs DataBrent crude and the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate found their footing again on Thursday amid escalating tensions between Israel and Lebanon, on the brink of an all-out war, and further buoyed by jobs data showing lower first-time unemployment claims last week, though all indications are that the U.S. jobs market is still cooling. Brent hit a seven-week high on Thursday, trading up 0.62% at $85.60 at 2:15 p.m. ET, as this week’s jobs data lent more optimism of a rate cut at some point this year. WTI, the U.S. benchmark, was… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Brent-Closes-in-on-86-Further-Buoyed-by-Jobs-Data.html |
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Ageing Coal Plants Pave the Way for Renewable RevolutionNew research from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) shows that over 800 coal-fired power plants could be profitably replaced by solar power in emerging economies starting at the end of this decade. This is both a surprising and hopeful finding, as the lack of affordability of such a transition has long been one of the key hurdles standing between the world and a 1.5ºC cap on global warming. Phasing out coal is one of the most critical and urgent steps for combating climate change. But while transitioning… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Ageing-Coal-Plants-Pave-the-Way-for-Renewable-Revolution.html |
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Russia and Ukraine Trade Drone Strikes on Energy FacilitiesRussia attacked Ukraine with missiles and drones overnight, damaging energy infrastructure and prompting even more power blackouts, while Ukrainian drones reportedly struck deep inside Russian territory, setting oil installations on fire in two regions. Ukraine’s national power company, Ukrenerho, said early on June 20 that four regions were targeted in the latest wave of Russian drone and missile attacks. “Equipment was damaged at energy facilities in the Vinnytsya, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Kyiv regions,” Ukrenerho said in a message on… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/Europe/Russia-and-Ukraine-Trade-Drone-Strikes-on-Energy-Facilities.html |
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Carlyle Buyout Fund Scoops Up Mediterranean Gas AssetsAs the war rages on in Gaza and tensions escalate between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, private equity fund Carlyle (NASDAQ:CG) is forming a new Mediterranean oil and gas company to be led by ex-BP CEO Tony Hayward following the fund’s acquisition of assets in three countries for nearly $1 billion from Energean. The transaction, which is subject to regulatory approval, will give Carlyle “a diversified portfolio of highly strategic gas-weighted assets with expected production equivalent to 47,000 barrels of oil per day and operations… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Carlyle-Buyout-Fund-Scoops-Up-Mediterranean-Gas-Assets.html |
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Bank Sees U.S. Shale Growing for Another 4 YearsU.S. shale oil production has four more years of growth before it peaks in 2028. This is according to a forecast by HSBC—the latest in a string of attempts to predict the fate of the shale patch. It is also the latest to add to the potential for surprise in the shale patch. Just like it happened last year. In 2023, oil traders kept watching the rig count and kept worrying that oil production was falling because the rig count trended lower for most of the year. And then producers began reporting output figures and the surprises started flooding… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Bank-Sees-US-Shale-Growing-for-Another-4-Years.html |
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South Africa’s State Utility Set to Keep Highly-Polluting Coal Plants OpenEskom, the state-owned utility of South Africa, has received government approval to keep five of its old polluting coal power plants operational for five years after the country implements a limit on plants’ emissions in 2025. Eskom’s five coal-fired power plants – Hendrina, Grootvlei, Arnot, Camden, and Kriel – exceed the limits of pollutants that would come into force next year. However, the company has appealed with environmental affairs minister Barbara Creecy to keep these plants open for longer, despite the fact that… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/South-Africas-State-Utility-Set-to-Keep-Highly-Polluting-Coal-Plants-Open.html |
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Oil Moves Higher After EIA Confirms Crude DrawCrude oil prices ticked higher today after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported an inventory decline of 2.5 million barrels for the week to June 14. The change compared with an inventory build of 2.7 million barrels for the previous week, which pressured prices. In fuels, the Energy Information Administration estimated inventory draws for the week to June 14. Gasoline stocks shed 2.3 million barrels in the week to June 14 signaling a strong start to summer driving season that would inevitably affect oil market… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Oil-Moves-Higher-After-EIA-Confirms-Crude-Draw.html |
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Volkswagen’s Secret Project: A Hydrogen Fuel Cell VehicleGerman car manufacturing giant Volkswagen is working on the next hydrogen fuel cell technology and has reportedly filed for a patent for a vehicle and a hydrogen fuel cell stack with a range of 1,243 miles, or 2000 kilometers, according to news outlet ecoticias. If the vehicle hits the market, it would be the first fuel cell car from Volkswagen. The German carmaker is reportedly developing the technology together with German firm Kraftwerk Tubes. The new fuel-cell technology contains a ceramic membrane which is cheaper to manufacture than… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Volkswagens-Secret-Project-A-Hydrogen-Fuel-Cell-Vehicle.html |
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China’s Secret Weapon in the Global Copper WarVia Metal Miner Copper demand continues to surge globally. And as the rest of the world struggles with the rising price of copper and the ever-changing copper market, guess who is sitting pretty? Hint: it’s China. Despite fears of a worldwide copper shortage driving copper prices to new highs, the world’s largest producer and consumer of refined copper continues to run production at near-record levels. Lending a helping hand in this endeavor is copper scrap, which China uses to get around the shortage of raw materials. According… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Metals/Commodities/Chinas-Secret-Weapon-in-the-Global-Copper-War.html |
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Oil Firms Intensified Gas Flaring to the Highest Level in Five Years in 2023Oil companies globally flared more natural gas last year, reversing reductions from the previous two years and sending gas flaring volumes to the highest in five years, the World Bank’s annual Global Gas Flaring Tracker Report showed on Thursday. The amount of gas flared worldwide rose by nine billion cubic meters (bcm) to 148 bcm last year, its highest level since 2019. The increase resulted in an additional 23 million tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalent emissions, an amount similar to adding about five million cars to the… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Firms-Intensified-Gas-Flaring-to-the-Highest-Level-in-Five-Years-in-2023.html |
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UK Supreme Court Hands Climate Activists Landmark Win in Oil Drilling CaseThe UK Supreme Court ruled on Thursday that a local council unlawfully granted approval to an onshore oil drilling project as planners must have considered the emissions from the oil’s future use as fuels, in a landmark case that could upset new UK oil and gas project plans. By a three-to-two majority, the Supreme Court allowed the appeal from Sarah Finch on behalf of the Weald Action Group? and other environmental organizations against Surrey County Council, which had granted planning permission to expand oil production from a… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/UK-Supreme-Court-Hands-Climate-Activists-Landmark-Win-in-Oil-Drilling-Case.html |
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EU to Ban Re-Export of Russian LNGThe European Union is set to ban the re-export of Russian LNG in the bloc’s waters in a first sanctions measure targeting Russia’s gas, EU diplomats told Reuters on Thursday. The EU has been debating the 14th sanctions package against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine for a month, including proposals to ban LNG trans-shipments in EU waters and ways to address Russia’s shadow fleet of oil tankers. “EU Ambassadors just agreed on a powerful and substantial 14th package of sanctions in reaction to the Russian aggression… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/EU-to-Ban-Re-Export-of-Russian-LNG.html |
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Natural Gas Share of U.S. Power Generation Rises Amid Growing DemandNatural gas-fired electricity generation in the United States has jumped year-to-date compared to the same period last year, as total power demand rose with warmer temperatures and demand from data centers. For years, natural gas has accounted for the largest share of U.S. power generation, at around 40% of all electricity-generating sources. This year, natural gas is expected to provide around 42% of America’s electricity, similar to last year, as total consumption is set to grow by 3% in 2024 and another 2% in 2025, per data from… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Natural-Gas-Share-of-US-Power-Generation-Rises-Amid-Growing-Demand.html |
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S&P 500 closes slightly lower after briefly breaching 5,500, Nvidia takes a breather: Live updatesStocks are coming off of a winning session on Tuesday and are on pace to end the shortened trading weak higher. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/19/sp-500-futures-were-little-changed-as-wall-street-looks-for-nvidia-to-keep-leading-market.html |
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OpenAI competitor Anthropic announces its most powerful AI yetThe company said Claude 3.5 Sonnet is faster than its previous leading model, Claude 3 Opus, and is the first model from Anthropic’s new Claude 3.5 family. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/anthropic-claude-3point5-sonnet-ai-announced.html |
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Amazon’s ditching the plastic air pillows in its boxesThe e-commerce company said it will replace plastic air pillows with paper fillers. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/amazon-plastic-air-pillows-to-be-replaced-with-paper-filler.html |
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Trump Media plummets 15% as DJT stock sell-off deepensTrump Media has been in a slump since a New York jury convicted the presumptive Republican presidential nominee on 34 counts of falsifying business records. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/djt-trump-media-stock-price-today.html |
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This is not the dot-com bubble and Nvidia’s valuation is still ‘compelling,’ says Bank of AmericaThe investment bank still recommends buying the AI chipmaker. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/this-isnt-the-1990s-bubble-nvidias-still-a-buy-says-bank-of-america.html |
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Nvidia tops the individual stock market values of Germany, France and the UKNvidia’s AI-fueled rally has been historically fast, and now the stock is worth more than the entire market value of some of the world’s largest economies. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/nvidia-tops-the-stock-market-values-of-germany-france-and-the-uk.html |
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SpaceX unveils backpack-sized ‘Starlink Mini’ satellite internet antenna for $599SpaceX is rolling out a compact version of its satellite internet antennas called “Starlink Mini.” Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/spacex-unveils-starlink-mini-satellite-internet-antenna-for-599.html |
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Super Micro, Dell shares jump as Elon Musk calls them suppliers to xAI supercomputer project“Dell is assembling half of the racks that are going into the supercomputer that xAI is building,” Musk said, adding that Super Micro will also be involved. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/super-micro-dell-shares-jump-as-elon-musk-calls-them-suppliers-to-xai-supercomputer-project.html |
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Crypto Super PAC Fairshake raised $160 million by end of May: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what’s ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today’s show, we explore the growing influence of crypto super PACs in Washington, D.C. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/06/20/crypto-super-pac-fairshake-raised-160-million-by-end-of-may-cnbc-crypto-world.html |
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Fast-food customers are shifting to casual-dining chains, Darden Restaurants CEO saysChili’s and Applebee’s are among the casual-dining chains that have been trying to win over fast-food customers. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/inflation-fast-food-diners-switch-to-casual-chains-darden-ceo-says.html |
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The salary a family of 4 needs to get by in every U.S. state—it’s more than $150,000 in the most expensive oneIn most states, a family of four needs to earn more than $85,000 to cover necessities like food and housing. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/the-salary-a-family-of-4-needs-to-get-by-in-every-us-state.html |
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Why buy now, pay later debt could become a problem for the U.S. economyJuniper Research estimates that buy now, pay later transactions could reach nearly $700 billion by 2028. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/why-buy-now-pay-later-debt-could-become-a-problem-for-us-economy.html |
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Gilead’s twice-yearly shot to prevent HIV succeeds in late-stage trialGilead’s experimental twice-yearly medicine to prevent HIV was 100% effective in a late-stage trial, the company said Thursday. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/20/gilead-prep-lenacapavir-succeeds-in-phase-3-trial.html |
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Appeals Court Revives Case Against COVID-19 Vaccine RequirementAuthored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), A U.S. appeals court on June 18 revived a case against a COVID-19 vaccine mandate issued by a city in Washington state under a proclamation from state officials. A man received a dose of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine in downtown Seattle on Jan. 24, 2021. (Grant Hindsley/AFP via Getty Images) Firefighters who applied for exemptions to the Spokane mandate “plausibly assert that the individual city defendants applied the proclamation arbitrarily and capriciously, and that they thereby showed callous disregard to the firefighters’ Free Exercise rights,” U.S. Circuit Judge Ryan Nelson Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/appeals-court-revives-case-against-covid-19-vaccine-requirement |
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After A Year In “Recovery”, The Economy Is Once Again ContractingDespite a solid bear steepener today – with Macros selling 10s in what may be an early frontrunning of the Norinchukin liquidation – Nomura’s Charlie McElligott writes that the bank’s Treasury desk flows have continued to favor Customer buying of both rallies and dips, “particularly with foreign Real Money / Japan / Officials, and extending the recent theme where buying is pushing deeper into Duration (as expressed by the strong 30Y and 20Y auctions)…all a function of growing “Confidence in the Slowdown” which is coming just in time for the September, and why not, July Fed meeting so that Biden can enjoy at least 1-2 rate cuts ahead of the election. Indeed, today’s mixed data extended on this “Slowdown / Normalizing” vibe, with Housing Starts / Building Permits plunging to Covid lockdown lows… Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/after-year-recovery-economy-once-again-contracting |
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Arizona Judge Declines To Dismiss Election Interference CaseAuthored by Chase Smith via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), In the ongoing legal battle over alleged election interference in Arizona in 2022, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Geoffrey Fish issued a series of rulings this week denying motions to dismiss and motions to remand charges back to a state grand jury against Cochise County Supervisors Peggy Judd and Tom Crosby. Maricopa County election workers remove ballots from a drop box in Mesa, Ariz., on Nov. 8, 2022. (John Moore/Getty Images) The rulings released on June 18 mean the case will proceed to trial. Ms. Judd and Mr. Crosby are charged with conspiracy and interference with an election officer, both class 5 felonies. The case stems from event … Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/arizona-judge-declines-dismiss-election-interference-case |
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Zelensky’s Government Crushes Press Freedoms In Ukraine, NYT Now AdmitsAuthored by Connor Freeman via AntiWar.com, Journalists and media groups have come under intense pressure from the Kiev regime, including spying and other forms of persecution during Ukraine’s war with Russia, according to the New York Times. Reporters have been spied on and even presented with draft notices after exposing media restrictions imposed by President Volodymyr Zelensky’s government. In addition to Zelensky calling off elections and staying in power well past the end of his term, this is more evidence that Kiev is not the democratic bastion its Western military backers claim it is. Following Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Zelensky nationalized the country’s media, among other authoritarian measures such as banning opposition parties. According to the NYT, Ukrainian journalists mostly went along with the wartime restrictive measures, that entailed prohibiting, among other things, the publication of locations where Russian missile strikes have taken place, accounts of military casualties, and reports on Ukrainian troop movements or positions. Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelenskys-government-crushes-press-freedoms-ukraine-ny-times-now-says |
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Bank opens door for August interest rate cutThe Bank of England keeps borrowing costs unchanged, but hints it could cut rates later in the summer. Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd11jld7d36o |
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What are the parties saying about housing? – Your questionsOur cost of living correspondent answers your questions about housing and personal finance. Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpdd30xk04ko |
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Row over first-time buyer help as parties trade blowsLabour and the Tories accuse each other of failing to match promises on housing, a key election issue. Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3ggenv37eqo |
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Sebi modifies duration for call auction in pre-open session for IPOsDuring the pre-open call auction for some IPOs and relisted stocks, unusually large orders were placed at inflated prices, only to be cancelled shortly before the session closed. This pattern suggests potential market manipulation. In order to curb the misuse of the call auction session, Sebi has decided to modify the current provisions related to call auction sessions for IPO and relisted scrips and introduce additional surveillance measures at stock exchanges. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/sebi-comes-out-with-addl-surveillance-mechanism-for-call-auction-in-pre-open-session-for-ipo/articleshow/111143994.cms |
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AIF & PMS Conclave 2.0: Sunil Singhania on 4 ‘Ds’ that make India a better choice for equity investingIn the post-pandemic era, while global discussions centered around recession and job losses, India stood out with its focus on growth. Highlighting India’s democratic foundation as its core strength, the expert emphasized how the recent election results were accepted by all. This exemplifies the power and resilience of India’s democratic system. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/aif-pms-conclave-2-0-sunil-singhania-on-4-ds-that-make-india-a-better-choice-for-equity-investing/articleshow/111145661.cms |
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Sebi confirms interim direction; bans JM Financial from managing debt public issues till Mar 2025SEBI confirmed restrictions on JM Financial, barring it from leading debt issuances until 2025. The firm also pledged to discontinue its subsidiary’s IPO financing business. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/sebi-confirms-interim-direction-bans-jm-financial-from-managing-debt-public-issues-till-mar-2025/articleshow/111145910.cms |
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‘A few motherly words of wisdom can go a long way’: My two adult sons will each inherit $100,000. What should they do with it?“We live in the greater Boston area, so housing costs are extremely high.” Read more at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-few-motherly-words-of-wisdom-can-go-a-long-way-my-two-30-something-sons-will-each-inherit-100-000-what-should-they-do-with-it-70b24ade?mod=mw_rss_topstories |
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My husband and I are retired — and live on a fixed income. We’re invited to our niece’s destination wedding. Are we obliged to buy a gift?“We haven’t been to a wedding in decades.” Read more at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/my-husband-and-i-are-retired-and-are-invited-to-our-nieces-destination-wedding-do-we-have-to-go-and-buy-a-gift-c79033ce?mod=mw_rss_topstories |
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Most Americans think it’s a great time to sell a house. But watch out for the unexpected costs.It may be a seller’s market, but homeowners thinking of listing their homes should be prepared for the costs that come with selling, which often amount to nearly $60,000, according to a new report. Read more at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/most-americans-think-its-a-great-time-to-sell-a-house-but-watch-out-for-the-unexpected-costs-a592b171?mod=mw_rss_topstories |