It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Feb 12 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Feb 12 2024 – 12Z Wed Feb 14 2024…A significant winter storm crossing the Mid-South today will transition
to a strong nor’easter for the Mid-Atlantic and New England by Tuesday……Areas of severe thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding will
be possible across portions of the Southeast today……New storm system to arrive across the Northwest by the middle of the
week with areas of locally heavy rain and mountain snowfall…
Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Seasonal Outlook can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
A significant winter storm associated with a strong upper-level trough and
associated closed low will cross through the Mid-South today, and the Ohio
Valley tonight, which will continue to interact with enough cold air to
produce some areas of locally heavy snowfall across portions of the Ozarks
and gradually the Ohio Valley to the north of the low track. Locally
several inches of accumulation are expected, with portions of the Ozarks
expected to see in excess of 6 inches of snow.Farther south and east across the Southeast, and on the warm side of the
strengthening area of low pressure crossing the Mid-South, the northward
advance of moisture and instability from the Gulf of Mexico and its
interaction with a strong frontal zone will produce numerous areas of
heavy showers and thunderstorms. Some additional severe weather is
possible today, with concerns for locally strong damaging winds, isolated
instances of large hail, and a few tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center
has depicted a Slight Risk of severe weather (level 2 of 5) from central
and southern Alabama eastward across central and southern Georgia, the
Florida Panhandle, and into southern South Carolina to address this threat.In addition to the severe weather threat over the Southeast, heavy
rainfall is expected, and there may be enough rain to produce isolated to
widely scattered instances of flash flooding. The Weather Prediction
Center has depicted a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall (level 2 of 4)
across portions of the Southeast to address this concern.This storm system will be arriving across the Mid-Atlantic states tonight
and be transitioning to a strong nor’easter Tuesday morning as low
pressure exits off the Mid-Atlantic coast near the Delmarva and ejects
well offshore of southern New England by Tuesday night. The concern will
refocus back to winter weather impacts as moisture surging northward ahead
of the low center encounters sufficient levels of cold air for a swath of
heavy accumulating snowfall. The primary corridor of heavy snow is
expected to set up across central and eastern Pennsylvania through
northern New Jersey, southeast New York, and much of southern New England.
Many of these areas will see 6 to 12 inches of snow, with some areas
especially over the higher elevations near the Poconos, Catskills, and
adjacent areas of southern New England seeing in excess of 12 inches. The
nor’easter will bring strong winds to the region on Tuesday which coupled
with the heavy snowfall could damage trees and power lines. The strong
winds will also bring a threat for coastal flooding.A new storm system meanwhile will arrive across the Northwest by the
middle of the week which will bring areas of heavy rainfall to the coastal
ranges of the Pacific Northwest, and heavy snowfall for the higher
elevations of the Cascades. This snowfall threat will also extend eastward
into the northern Rockies as Pacific moisture streams inland.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
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10
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| 8–
14 |
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4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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