It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Feb 10 2024
Valid 12Z Sat Feb 10 2024 – 12Z Mon Feb 12 2024…Winter storm to impact the central and southern Rockies and adjacent
High Plains going through the weekend……Areas of severe thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding will
be possible through Sunday from central and eastern Texas into the
Mid-South……Potentially record-setting warmth expected today across portions of the
Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast…
Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Seasonal Outlook can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
A winter storm associated with a strong upper-level trough and associated
closed low will cross areas of the central and southern Rockies today and
will begin spilling east out across adjacent areas of the High Plains by
early Sunday. Colder temperatures and areas of heavy precipitation will
yield heavy accumulating snowfall for the higher terrain, with specific
emphasis on the Sangre De Cristo range of south-central to southeast
Colorado into northeast New Mexico. Areas from the Front Range south all
the way into the Texas Panhandle will see snow develop and become locally
heavy as well as the storm system gradually ejects east out into the
southern Plains by later Sunday. Snowfall accumulations of as much as 4 to
8 inches are expected for locations away from the higher terrain and over
the immediate High Plains. However, accumulations of 6 to 12 inches can be
expected over the Rockies, with some isolated 12 to 18 inch amounts
expected over the Sangre De Cristo range.The energy associated with this ejecting winter storm will also be
interacting with a cold front that will be slowing down and eventually
stalling out across areas of the South. As multiple waves of low pressure
gradually eject east out of the Rio Grande Valley and along this front,
the pooling of moisture and instability from the Gulf of Mexico should set
the stage for multiple rounds of heavy showers and thunderstorms. The
front which will extend across areas of central and eastern Texas into the
Mid-South, will support a threat of severe weather for today into Sunday
including a threat for locally damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center has depicted a Slight Risk of
severe weather (level 2 of 5) across portions of central to eastern Texas
and adjacent areas of the Mid-South.In addition to the severe weather threat, heavy rainfall is expected, and
areas of the Mid-South in particular may see locally several inches of
rain from instances of training showers and thunderstorms going through
early Sunday. This will drive a threat for flash flooding, and the the
Weather Prediction Center has accordingly depicted a Slight Risk (level 2
of 4) of excessive rainfall for this region. Adjacent areas of the Gulf
Coast states and the Southeast by later Sunday into Monday will also see a
threat of heavy showers and thunderstorms as low pressure finally
consolidates and lifts northeastward into the Mid-South.Elsewhere, very mild temperatures are expected for many areas of the
northern and eastern U.S. as there continues to be a lack of cold air
dropping south from Canada. Potentially record-setting warmth is expected
for today across the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and the Northeast where
temperatures will be as much as 15 to 25 degrees above average.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
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10
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14 |
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4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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