It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Feb 09 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Feb 09 2024 – 12Z Sun Feb 11 2024…Unsettled weather continues for the West with locally heavy snowfall
expected for many of the local mountain ranges……Heavy rainfall will become a concern this weekend across areas of the
South, and there will be a threat for scattered areas of flash flooding……Above average temperatures for the eastern half of the nation through
Saturday, potentially record-breaking for some locations…
Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Seasonal Outlook can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
A series of upper-level troughs crossing through the Intermountain West,
and especially the Four Corners region, will maintain an expanded area of
unsettled weather across the West going through the weekend. This energy
will drive areas of locally heavy precipitation, and this will include
heavy snowfall for the higher elevations. In general, areas of the
northern and central Rockies are likely to see new snowfall amounts of as
much as 6 to 12 inches. However, the heavy snowfall threat should be a bit
more focused across the higher terrain of the Sangre De Cristo range in
south-central to southeast CO and also north-central to northeast NM by
Saturday, and the snow is likely to spread out into the southern High
Plains as low pressure deepens over portions of the middle to upper Rio
Grande Valley. Portions of the Sangre De Cristo range may see as much as
12 to 18 inches with locally heavier amounts by early Sunday. Temperatures
across much of the Four Corners region will be colder than normal, with
high temperatures locally as much as 10 to 20 degrees below average.Energy associated with this ejecting winter storm threat across the
Intermountain West, will shift far enough to the east this weekend to
begin interacting with a cold front that will be slowing down and
eventually stalling out across areas of the South. Multiple waves of low
pressure will gradually eject east out of the Rio Grande Valley and along
this front which coupled with the pooling of moisture and instability from
the Gulf of Mexico should set the stage for multiple rounds of heavy
showers and thunderstorms. The front which will extend across southeast TX
into the Lower MS Valley and Mid-South will support the potential for this
activity to train over the same area, and therefore locally several inches
of rain will be possible. The Weather Prediction Center has depicted a
Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for excessive rainfall for portions of the
South to account for this concern, and scattered areas of flash flooding
will be possible as a result.Meanwhile, with a lack of cold air dropping south from Canada,
temperatures for much of the Eastern U.S. will be well above normal going
through Saturday. Some high temperatures will be as much as 25 to 35
degrees above average over the Midwest on Friday, and by Saturday, many
areas of the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast will be as much as
15 to 25 degrees above average which will include a likelihood for some
record highs being set.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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