It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Feb 08 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Feb 08 2024 – 12Z Sat Feb 10 2024…Unsettled weather continues for the West with moderate to locally heavy
snowfall for many of the local mountain ranges……Wintry precipitation for the Northern Plains as shower/thunderstorm
chances increase for the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes Thursday, spreading
into the South Friday……Much above average temperatures to end the work week for most of the
central/eastern U.S., record warmth for some locations in the Great Lakes
and Mid-Atlantic…
Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Seasonal Outlook can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
An energetic, deep upper-level trough will remain over the West the next
couple of days, with a series of shortwaves and frontal systems keeping
precipitation chances up across the region. Most of the higher elevations
of the regional mountain ranges in the Rockies, Southwest, Great Basin,
and Northwest will see some moderate to locally heavy snowfall. The
heaviest snowfall will continue over the central Great Basin/Four Corners
region Thursday, with additional totals generally between 6-12″ expected,
and some locally higher amounts possible. Lower elevations/valleys will
see a mix of light to moderate rain and snow showers, though any snow
accumulations should remain limited. Light to moderate showers are also in
the forecast for the Pacific Northwest, along portions of coastal
California, and into the Desert Southwest. Fortunately, rainfall amounts
have come down, and despite the very wet antecedent conditions in
California and the Desert Southwest, chances for any additional flooding
look to be very low. Highs will remain below average under the influence
of the trough and ongoing precipitation, with highs in the 30s and 40s for
the Intermountain West, 40s and 50s for the Pacific Northwest/Northern
California, and 50s and 60s for Southern California and the Desert
Southwest.To the east, a low pressure/frontal system will track northeastward across
the Northern Plains and through the Upper Midwest Thursday-Friday. Wintry
precipitation continues across portions of the Northern Plains as moist
southeasterly flow overrides colder air pushing southward east of the
Rockies. A light glaze of ice as well as an additional 1-3″ or so of snow
can be expected across eastern Montana and northern North Dakota, tapering
off from west to east through Thursday. Showers and some thunderstorms are
expected ahead of the system over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes Thursday,
with chances decreasing into Friday as the system moves into Canada. A
stagnant flow pattern setting up south of the cold front and northwest of
ridging over the southeastern Atlantic will begin to funnel Gulf moisture
northward over portions of the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley,
and into the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys, with increasing shower and
thunderstorm chances Friday into early Saturday morning.High temperatures will remain well above average broadly across
central/eastern portions of the country, with the greatest anomalies
centered over the Midwest. Forecast highs in the 40s and 50s for the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes and 60s for the Middle Mississippi Valley are upwards
of 25-35 degrees above average. Higher anomalies will also shift into the
Northeast with 30s and 40s for New England and 40s, 50s, and even some 60s
for the Mid-Atlantic. Some record-tying/breaking high temperatures will be
possible from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic. Further South, highs
will generally be in the 60s and 70s from the Southern Plains into the
Southeast.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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