It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Feb 07 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Feb 07 2024 – 12Z Fri Feb 09 2024…Moderate to locally heavy rainfall continues for California and the
Desert Southwest……Heavy Snow for higher elevations of the Intermountain West; wintry mix
for the Northern Plains……Temperatures will continue to run above average for the central/eastern
U.S. with record breaking warmth for parts of the Upper Midwest/Great
Lakes…
Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Seasonal Outlook can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
Shower and thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast for the West Coast
and the Desert Southwest as a deep, energetic upper-level trough remains
overhead, onshore flow continues, and another Pacific storm system drops
down along the coast. While the influx of anomalously high moisture
associated with this past weekend’s Atmospheric River has ended, moderate
to locally heavy rainfall on top of the very wet antecedent conditions may
still bring a risk for some isolated instances of flooding, particularly
along coastal central and southern California Wednesday and along the
Mogollon Rim of Arizona through Thursday. Higher elevations of the Sierra
Nevada and Transverse/Peninsular Ranges will see some additional heavy
snowfall totals of around 6-12″, while the Cascades and northern Coastal
Ranges of California will see some light to moderate snow.The trough will also continue to lead to heavy snowfall for the regional
mountain ranges of the Intermountain West the next couple of days. Higher
elevations of the Northern Rockies and Central Great Basin will generally
see between 4-8 inches, with some locally higher amounts. The heaviest
amounts will be centered on the Four Corners region, where additional
snowfall over the next two days will generally range between 10-20″, with
totals over 2 feet possible. Lower elevations/valleys will see a mix of
light to moderate rain and snow showers, though any snow accumulations
should remain limited. Precipiation chances should trend downward through
Thursday and into Friday.A shortwave rotating around the western trough will begin to push eastward
over the Plains Wednesday, helping to organize/enhance a surface low
pressure/frontal system over the Northern Plains. Moist southeasterly flow
overriding colder air along and east of the Rockies will bring the chances
for a mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow spreading eastward from the
Northern High Plains into the Northern Plains Wednesday-Thursday. Some
light ice accretions and snowfall generally between 2-4″ are expected from
eastern Montana into western North Dakota. Some light to moderate rain
showers will spread eastward ahead of the system across the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes Thursday.High temperatures will remain above average broadly across central/eastern
portions of the country, with much above average conditions centered on
the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Forecast highs in the 40s, 50s, and
even some low 60s are upwards of 25-35 degrees above average. Some
record-tying/breaking high temperatures are possible. Otherwise, highs
will generally range in the 30s and 40s for New England, 40s and 50s for
the Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas, 50s and 60s for the Ohio Valley/Southeast and
Central Plains, and 60s and 70s for the Southern Plains. Highs will remain
below average in the West under the influence of the upper-level trough
and ongoing precipitation, with highs in the 30s and 40s for the
Intermountain West, 40s and 50s for the Pacific Northwest/Northern
California, and 50s and 60s for Southern California and the Desert
Southwest.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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