Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 31, 2023

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Dec 31 2023
Valid 12Z Sun Dec 31 2023 – 12Z Tue Jan 02 2024

…Quiet pattern means little weather-related disruptions for most of the
country for New Year’s Eve festivities…

…Clipper system brings light wintry mix to parts of the Midwest, Central
Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic…

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report

Notices:  What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article.

Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)

Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE

TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).

TOMORROW

NEXT DAY

This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.

The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.

ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS

This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update.   Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.

Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here

Little to no precipitation is expected for most of the country as we ring
in 2024 tonight. Both Sunday, New Year’s Eve, and Monday, New Year’s Day,
look quiet, with temperatures generally running within about 10 degrees of
average for late December/early January. Forecast highs for the northern
tier from the Plains to New England will be in the 30s and 40s, as well as
within the Intermountain West. The Mid-Atlantic will see highs in the 40s
and 50s, with 50s and 60s for the Southeast/Lower Mississippi Valley. Some
warmer temperatures into the low 70s will be possible for southern Texas
on Sunday. A cold front will bring cooler conditions in the 30s to the
Central Plains Sunday, and highs in the 40s from portions of the Southern
Plains east through the Tennessee Valley Monday. Highs are forecast in the
50s for the Pacific Northwest and northern/central California and in the
60s for Southern California and the Desert Southwest.

A few areas will see some light precipitation over the next couple of
days. A light wintry mix is forecast with a clipper system dropping from
the Great Lakes through the Central Appalachians Sunday and into the
Mid-Atlantic Monday. Little to no accumulations are expected for most
areas. Some of the higher elevations of the Central Appalachians could see
some locally higher amounts of 2-4″. Elsewhere, some light snow may fall
in the Northern Rockies Sunday as an upper-level shortwave passes through.
Light showers are forecast Monday along the Gulf Coast as a passing cold
front interacts with some marginally available Gulf moisture. Further
west, a few spotty showers are also possible in the Desert Southwest as a
Pacific system moves along the U.S./Mexico border. High surf and coastal
flooding will remain a concern along the southern California coast.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)

Ski SnowReports

New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.

Snow Forecasts.  And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.

Day 1

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day1_psnow_gt_04.gif

Day 2

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_04.gif

Additional snow information can be found here and here. The second link provides animations.

Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4.  An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.

Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.

Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays)
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ https://www.cpc.ncep   .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/

Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.

6–

10

 

8–

14

3–

4

HAZARDS OUTLOOKS

Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays.  Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report.  So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.

 

Daily Agricultural Weather Highlights can be found HERE

Month to Date Information

Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png

Precipitation month to date can be found at  https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png

World Forecast

Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6  forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE

World Temperature Anomalies

 

World Accumulated Precipitation

This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.

Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)

This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here  Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.

Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE.  Western Pacific information can be found HERE.

 

 

 I hope you found this article interesting and useful.

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