Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Sat Jun 03 2023Valid 00Z Sun Jun 04 2023 – 00Z Tue Jun 06 2023
…Unsettled weather to continue through the weekend across much of the
High Plains and into the Central/Northern Rockies with locally heavy
rainfall……Hot temperatures to continue across the Northern Plains and much of the
Midwest……Much colder weather with much below normal temperatures expected across
the Northeast..
| Information Note: This article is now set up so that all the maps should automatically update. The links are provided but should not be needed. The downside is that if you go back to a previous version the maps will have been updated and not be relevant to the date of the prior article but will be current information. The NWS twice-a-day 48-hour forecasts do not auto-update in this article. I do it and I can be late doing it. The link for the NWS updates is HERE. Most of our other articles will not be set up to auto-update so that prior versions of the article will be meaningful.
Recently, we published the Weather Update for June. You can access it HERE. We also published the Weekly Crop Report. It can be accessed HERE. Remember the easiest way to get back to the article you were reading is to hit the return arrow in the upper left of your screen. There are other ways. |
First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear)
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
A broad area of unsettled weather will continue through the weekend across
many areas of the High Plains and through the central and northern Rockies
as a large upper-level trough persists over the region. Scattered areas of
showers and thunderstorms are expected, and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible. In fact, the Weather Prediction Center has depicted a Slight
Risk of excessive rainfall across areas of northern Wyoming through
central Montana, and also separately for areas of the Texas Panhandle,
western Oklahoma and far southwest Kansas going through tonight where
slow-moving showers and thunderstorms are expected. Isolated to locally
scattered instances of flash flooding will be possible across these areas.
On Sunday, the excessive rainfall threat will taper down a bit across the
northern High Plains, but will continue for areas of the southern High
Plains with a focus on the Texas Panhandle. The severe weather threat will
overall be quite isolated this weekend, but the Storm Prediction Center
does depict a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms across the Lower Rio
Grande Valley in south Texas through this evening where some storms may
produce large hail and damaging winds.Elsewhere, a strong upper-level ridge of high pressure over the Northern
Plains and Upper Midwest will keep many of these areas rather hot with
high temperatures in the upper 80s to the low 90s which will be as much as
10 to 20 degrees above normal for this time of the year. A few widely
scattered showers and thunderstorms are also expected. By Monday, a cold
front advancing south from Canada will begin to help cool off areas of the
Upper Midwest and through the Great Lakes region. Meanwhile, the Northeast
U.S. will see quite the opposite weather pattern for the remainder of the
weekend and into early next week as a strong upper-level low drops south
from areas of southeast Canada and down through New England. This will
bring much colder air down along with it, with temperatures forecast to be
well below normal. Some high temperatures will stay in the 50s the next
couple of days and be as much as 10 to 20 degrees below normal. The colder
temperatures will be amplified in part by cloud cover and areas of rain,
especially along the New England coast, as low pressure strengthens
offshore over the next couple of days.The weather across the remainder of the country for the next couple of
days will be rather tranquil although cooler temperatures will tend to
filter south down across the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast as
northeast winds advance down the coast behind a cold front. Some scattered
shower and thunderstorm activity is expected from the central Appalachians
down through the Tennessee Valley and the central and western Gulf Coast
region. Along the West Coast, generally dry weather is expected, although
some scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible by early next
week over the Sierra Nevada. Temperatures will also be warming well above
normal across areas of the Pacific Northwest, with near to locally below
normal temperatures expected for the Southwest.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6
– 10
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| 8
– 14 |
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| 3
– 4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
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Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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