Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 29, 2023

Updated at 5:14 p.m. EDT Monday May 29, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
310 PM EDT Mon May 29 2023

Valid 00Z Tue May 30 2023 – 00Z Thu Jun 01 2023

…Widespread scattered showers and thunderstorms expected for large
portions of the central U.S. into the Northern Rockies and northern Great
Basin…

…Showery conditions likely across the Southern Mid-Atlantic through
Tuesday and developing across portions of Florida Wednesday…

…Much above average temps expected along the northern tier of the
nation, while cooler than average temps accompany the showers across the
Southeast portion of the nation…

Information Note: This article is now set up so that all the maps should automatically update. The links are provided but should not be needed.  The downside is that if you go back to a  previous version the maps will have been updated and not be relevant to the date of the prior article but will be current information. The NWS twice-a-day 48-hour forecasts do not auto-update in this article. I do it and I can be late doing it. The link for the NWS updates is HERE. Most of our other articles will not be set up to auto-update so that prior versions of the article will be meaningful.

Recently, we published the NOAA 2023 Hurricane Outlook. You can access it HERE.

Remember the easiest way to get back to the article you were reading is to hit the return arrow in the upper left of your screen. There are other ways.

First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)

Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE

TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear)

TOMORROW

NEXT DAY

This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.

ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS

This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update.   Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.

Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.

The large scale flow across the Lower 48 remains fairly blocked over the
next few days, characterized by a mean trof across the western half of the
country, another trof from the southern Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast
and a closed upper high from the Great Lakes into the Northeast.

The mean trof pattern across the western U.S. will support widespread
scattered showers over the next two days from northern California through
the northern Great Basin, Northern Rockies and across much of the Plains
states. Across these regions, isolated heavy rainfall amounts are
possible along with isolated instances of flash flooding.

Across the Southern Mid-Atlantic, a slow moving upper low will inch its
way offshore during Tuesday. This system will continue to produce
scattered showers across the Southern Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday, but as the
system continues to push offshore, drier conditions expected on Wednesday.
In the wake of this upper low moving offshore, another upper low is
expected to form across the central Gulf of Mexico. Shower activity will
become increasingly likely to the east of this developing upper low on
Wednesday, bringing increasing rain chances for central to South Florida.
This new upper low will be slow moving through the remainder of the week
as it moves across the eastern Gulf and Florida, maintaining a wet pattern
for central to South Florida into late this week.

A closed upper high will remain parked across the northeastern portion of
the nation from the Great Lakes into New England. Dry conditions and much
above average temperatures will accompany this upper high with high
temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above average across much of the northern
tier from the Norther Plains, through the Upper Lakes, northern NY State
into Northern New England. Cooler than average temperatures over the next
few days will be associated with the showery pattern across the
southeastern U.S. and along the West coast into the Desert Southwest.

Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)

Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4.  An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.

Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.

Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays)
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ https://www.cpc.ncep   .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/

Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.

6

10

 

8

14

3

4

HAZARDS OUTLOOKS

Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays.  Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report.  So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.

 

Daily Agricultural Weather Highlights can be found HERE

Month to Date Information

Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png

Precipitation month to date can be found at  https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png

World Forecast

Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6  forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE

World Temperature Anomalies

World Accumulated Precipitation

 

This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.

Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)

This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here  Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.

 I hope you found this article interesting and useful.

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