Updated at 4:12 p.m. EST Friday, January 27, 2023
Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.
It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
250 PM EST Fri Jan 27 2023Valid 00Z Sat Jan 28 2023 – 00Z Mon Jan 30 2023
…Heavy snow impacting the northern Rockies and northern High Plains to
spread into parts of the central Plains and Midwest tonight……Arctic air surging southward into the central United States this
weekend to produce potentially dangerous wind chills……Instances of heavy rain and flash flooding possible throughout the Gulf
Coast and Southeast on Sunday…
First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. I try to keep the below three maps updated. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. I will be doing the updating during the period described in the title of the article but if you happen to read this article later, you can get updates by clicking HERE.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, EVENING, AND OVERNIGHT
SATURDAY
SUNDAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast (It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
The main story over the next few days will be the arctic cold front slowly traversing southward through the Great Plains and Intermountain West, bringing plunging temperatures in its wake, including the chance for snow. In the build-up to the surge of cold air, an initial system tracking across the Great Lakes will continue to bring the chance for light to moderate snow, especially along western-facing lake shores, where cold, gusty northwesterly winds will produce lake-enhanced snow showers through Friday evening. Further west, snow is expected to increase in intensity throughout the Northern Rockies through Friday evening as the arctic frontal boundary pushes southward from Canada into the region, producing conditions favorable for moderate to heavy snow. Widespread Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for much of the region due to the potential for a swath of accumulating snowfall throughout lower elevations and totals exceeding 12" into the higher terrain. The snow could be heavy at times and drastically reduce visibility, making travel potentially treacherous. Low pressure developing along the frontal boundary on Friday evening will push into the central Plains, producing an axis of moderate snow on the northern side of the low. A narrow swath of 4-6" is forecast from western Nebraska into the Great Lakes through early Sunday, with higher amounts possible across southeastern South Dakota and central Michigan. In addition to the potential for snow, bitterly cold temperatures will overspread much of the region as strong high pressure in western Canada sends a surge of arctic southward behind the frontal boundary draped across the Intermountain West and Plains. Temperatures 20 to 40 degrees below average are forecast to spread into the northern Rockies and northern/central Plains by Sunday, with highs only reaching into the single digits and lows dropping into the minus teens. Gusty winds will make it feel even colder and could lead to dangerous conditions for individuals spending an extended amount of time outdoors. As the arctic frontal boundary progresses southward into the southern Plains, a northward surge of warm, moist air ahead of the system will produce showers and thunderstorms across the Gulf Coast, with the potential existing for heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding this weekend. As a result, a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall has been issued for southeastern Texas and western Louisiana on Saturday, with the threat expanding in severity and areal coverage on Sunday, as a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall covers the entirety of the Gulf Coast.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Month to Date Information
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the 5-Day forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.-
I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |