Summary Of the Markets Today:
- The Dow closed up 40 points or 0.09%,
- Nasdaq closed up 0.08%,
- S&P 500 closed up 0.01%,
- Gold $2,680 down $10.60,
- WTI crude oil settled at $71 up $1.13,
- 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.783 up 0.04 points,
- USD index $101.61 up $0.42,
- Bitcoin $60,793 down $86 or 0.14%,
*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing
Today’s Highlights
U.S. stocks drifted higher on Wednesday despite escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, which had initially prompted caution in the market. Stocks had been under pressure at the start of October due to geopolitical concerns, which dampened previous optimism about potential U.S. interest rate cuts. Oil prices extended their surge, with Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate futures rising more than 1% on Wednesday. This follows a significant 5% spike on Tuesday, the largest increase in almost a year6. Traders are factoring in potential supply risks due to heightened attacks between Israel and Iran – as well as the ongoing port strikes on the east and gulf coasts. ADP data showed the private sector added 143,000 jobs in September, surpassing economists’ estimates of 125,000 and significantly higher than August’s 99,000. Tesla shares fell more than 3% as global deliveries rose in Q3 but fell short of Wall Street estimates. Nike shares dropped over 6% after withdrawing its annual outlook and reporting lower-than-expected Q1 revenue.
Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – October 2024 Economic Forecast: One More Recession Flag Removed Yet Little Headway On Inflation
Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:
According to ADP National Employment Report, hiring showed a widespread rebound after a five-month slowdown, with private employers adding 143,000 jobs in September 2024. Year-over-year pay gains for job-stayers fell slightly in September to 4.7%. ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said: “Stronger hiring didn’t require stronger pay growth last month. Typically, workers who change jobs see faster pay growth. But that premium over job-stayers shrank to 1.9 percent, matching a low we last saw in January.” A 143,000 job gains is not excellent but not terrible either. After BLS’s last employment revision, the BLS employment data now aligns better with ADP – and I would expect Friday’s job report to be around 150,000.
Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:
- China’s Energy Grid Overwhelmed by Renewable Surge
- Robots are Making Nuclear Energy Safer and More Efficient
- OPEC+ Leaves Current Output Cut Policy Unchanged at JMMC
- Oil Moves Higher Despite Rising U.S. Crude Inventories
- Japan Maintains Energy Policy Focused on Boosting Nuclear and Renewables
- The East and Gulf coast ports strike could be a no-win situation for the Biden administration
- OpenAI closes funding at $157 billion valuation, as Microsoft, Nvidia, SoftBank join round
- Dow ekes out narrow gain Wednesday as Middle East tensions weigh on markets: Live updates
- Tesla stock slips after EV maker misses estimates on deliveries
- JPM Analysts Flip-Flop iPhone 16 Demand Forecast In Just Three Days
- 10-year Treasury yield rises from 1-week low as inflation worries return
- Oil prices end at 2-week high as Israel weighs response to Iran missile attack
Click on the “Read More”
The Market in Perspective
Here are the headlines moving the markets. | |
China’s Energy Grid Overwhelmed by Renewable SurgeChina is building twice as much wind and solar energy production capacity as the rest of the entire world combined. While this runaway expansion is great news for the country’s decarbonization goals, it is putting strain on energy grids and energy markets, even leading to occasional negative energy prices in some areas. Chinese grid officials are reportedly decreasing output from turbines and solar panels this year to avoid overwhelming power lines. “With annual wind and solar installations booming and potentially allowing for an early… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Renewable-Energy/Chinas-Energy-Grid-Overwhelmed-by-Renewable-Surge.html |
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Robots are Making Nuclear Energy Safer and More EfficientInnovations in technology are helping boost safety in nuclear energy operations through the use of robots, which can decrease human exposure to operational hazards. Energy companies around the globe are integrating autonomous smart technologies into operations to improve health and safety, reduce costs, and enhance remote access. Robots have become widely used in both fossil fuels and renewable energy operations worldwide and now their role in nuclear energy projects is expanding. Nuclear companies are increasingly using robotics for decommissioning… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Robots-are-Making-Nuclear-Energy-Safer-and-More-Efficient.html |
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Low Prices Squeeze U.S. Oil and Gas OutputBy John Kemp, energy analyst U.S. oil production growth continues to slow in response to the fall in prices, as the initial shock from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions imposed in response more than two years ago fades. Crude and condensates output from the Lower 48 states excluding federal waters in the Gulf of Mexico averaged 11.0 million barrels per day (b/d) in July 2024, according to the latest data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Production had increased by less than 0.4 million b/d compared with the same… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Low-Prices-Squeeze-US-Oil-and-Gas-Output.html |
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French Giant TotalEnergies Hikes Dividend by 5% for 2025It’s a big news week for French oil major TotalEnergies this week, with investors informed on Wednesday that the company would narrow its focus on cheaper upstream output and hike dividends by 5% per share for next year, combined with $2 billion in quarterly buybacks. In its Strategy & Outlook presentation on Wednesday, TotalEnergies emphasized “more energy, less emissions, more free cash-flow” as it “advances its balanced and profitable multi-energy strategy”. The French oil giant is targeting 4% production… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/French-Giant-TotalEnergies-Hikes-Dividend-by-5-for-2025.html |
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Iran Claims Missile Attacks Complete, But Israel Vows RevengeIran has said its missile attack on Israel has ended and it will not be renewed unless Tehran will be forced to act again amid growing fears of a wider regional conflict. Tehran on October 1 launched a massive ballistic missile attack on Israel, its largest so far, in retaliation for the campaign launched by the Jewish state in southern Lebanon against the Iran-backed Hezbollah militant group, prompting warnings of countermeasures from Israel and its main ally, the United States. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in a message on X that… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/Africa/Iran-Claims-Missile-Attacks-Complete-But-Israel-Vows-Revenge.html |
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FTSE 100 Outperforms Global Indices as Defense and Energy Stocks RallyLondon markets made gains on Wednesday morning after an unprecedented missile attack on Israel by Iran that sent oil prices higher and shook global stocks. The prospect of a regional conflict is looming large over the Middle East after Iran fired around 180 missiles at Israel on Tuesday, for which Israeli authorities promised there would be “consequences”. Brent crude surged as much as four percent to $74.91 a barrel after White House officials warned a strike was imminent. It is now trading at $74.63. Early on Wednesday, Israel announced… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/FTSE-100-Outperforms-Global-Indices-as-Defense-and-Energy-Stocks-Rally.html |
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OPEC+ Leaves Current Output Cut Policy Unchanged at JMMCThe OPEC+ joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) concluded on Wednesday, with the ministers refraining from making any changes to production policy, maintaining the plan to start raising output in December. “The JMMC emphasized the critical importance of achieving full conformity and compensation. Furthermore, the Committee will continuously assess market conditions,” OPEC said in a post-meeting statement. Once again, ministers cautioned cartel members who continue to produce above quota. Earlier on Wednesday,… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/OPEC-Leaves-Current-Output-Cut-Policy-Unchanged-at-JMMC.html |
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Oil Moves Higher Despite Rising U.S. Crude InventoriesCrude oil prices ticked higher today, even though the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported an estimated inventory build of 3.9 million barrels for the week to September 27, driven by the latest escalation in the Middle East. The inventory change compared with a draw of 4.5 million barrels for the previous week, which also saw declines in fuel inventories. It also compared with the American Petroleum Institute’s estimate, which pegged crude oil inventory change for the final week of September at a negative 1.5 million barrels. This… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Oil-Moves-Higher-Despite-Rising-US-Crude-Inventories.html |
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Russia Not Confirming Reports of Energy Sector Nationalization PlansThe Kremlin cannot confirm a report that the Russian energy minister has proposed to Vladimir Putin to nationalize Russia’s energy sector, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Wednesday. Reports on Tuesday emerged that Russian Energy Minister Sergei Tsivilev proposed to President Putin that the sector should be nationalized, a Telegram channel called EJ reported, quoting unnamed sources. Tsivilev and Putin did meet on Tuesday, but according to a transcript of the meeting provided by the Kremlin, nationalization wasn’t among the topics… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Russia-Not-Confirming-Reports-of-Energy-Sector-Nationalization-Plans.html |
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Chevron Restarts Gas Production in Israel After Brief Halt During Iran’s AttackChevron has resumed natural gas production and supply from two platforms offshore Israel, where output was briefly suspended as a precaution due to the Iranian missile attack on Israel on Monday. Iran yesterday fired more than 100 ballistic missiles into Israel after the United States warned Israel on Monday morning that an attack was imminent. Oil prices jumped after news of the attack broke, amid concerns that oil and gas supply from the region could be affected in case of a wider conflict directly involving Iran, which sits close to the most… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Chevron-Restarts-Gas-Production-in-Israel-After-Brief-Halt-During-Irans-Attack.html |
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Japan Maintains Energy Policy Focused on Boosting Nuclear and RenewablesJapan aims to continue restarting nuclear power plants and boost renewables capacity, the new industry minister said on Wednesday, signaling that the new government will not alter materially the country’s current energy policy. “We can use renewable power to the maximum, and we will restart nuclear power, the safe one, as much as possible,” Industry Minister Yoji Muto, appointed by the new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, told reporters in the first press conference as minister, as carried by Reuters. Ishiba, who won the leadership… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Japan-Maintains-Energy-Policy-Focused-on-Boosting-Nuclear-and-Renewables.html |
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Saudi Arabia Warns Oil Prices Could Drop to $50Editor’s note: The OPEC Secretariat refuted claims made in the WSJ story mentioned below, stating that the conference call referenced by WSJ never occurred. Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman has warned fellow OPEC+ ministers that if other producers continue to flout their output quotas in the agreement, oil prices could slump to $50 per barrel, The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, citing OPEC delegates who attended a conference call last week. The warning from the most influential minister of the OPEC+ alliance was interpreted… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Saudi-Arabia-Warns-Oil-Prices-Could-Drop-to-50.html |
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Kuwait and Bahrain Set Up Fuel Trading Arms After Boosting Refining CapacityThe state energy companies of Middle Eastern oil producers Kuwait and Bahrain are setting up fuel trading arms to sell the higher volumes of diesel and jet fuel they are producing thanks to expanded refining capacity. Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) and Bahrain’s Bapco Energies plan to raise overseas fuel sales and launch trading activities in Dubai by early 2025, company officials said at an energy conference in Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bloomberg reports. Bahrain’s Bapco Energies plans to use its trading arm to… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Kuwait-and-Bahrain-Set-Up-Fuel-Trading-Arms-After-Boosting-Refining-Capacity.html |
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IEA: Policy and Demand Uncertainty Slows Green Hydrogen AdoptionUncertainty around demand and incentives coupled with cost pressures are weighing on the global adoption of low-carbon hydrogen despite an uptick in final investment decisions in the past year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a new report on Wednesday. World demand for hydrogen rose by 2.5% to 97 million tons in 2023, with demand concentrated in refining and chemicals, and mostly covered by hydrogen produced from unabated fossil fuels, the IEA said in its annual Global Hydrogen Review 2024. “As in previous years, low-emissions… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/IEA-Policy-and-Demand-Uncertainty-Slows-Green-Hydrogen-Adoption.html |
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Malaysia Expands Oil and Gas Drilling in Disputed South China SeaDespite Chinese pressure, Malaysia has stepped up oil and gas exploration activities in the disputed South China Sea, even as the China Coast Guard has constantly pressured Malaysian oil and gas operations this year, a new report by Washington-based Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative showed. The long-running dispute in the South China Sea involves territorial claims by China as well as Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan, Brunei, and Malaysia. China has territorial claims to about 90% of the South China Sea, which has put it at odds with its neighbors.… Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Malaysia-Expands-Oil-and-Gas-Drilling-in-Disputed-South-China-Sea.html |
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The East and Gulf coast ports strike could be a no-win situation for the Biden administrationPresident Biden is sticking to his position of not forcing striking port union workers back on the job, a political call that adds uncertainty to inflation. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/why-ports-strike-could-be-no-win-situation-biden-administration.html |
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Stellantis U.S. auto sales extend free fall in third quarterStellantis reported U.S. sales Tuesday of 305,294 from July through September, a 19.8% decline from the third quarter of 2023. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/stellantis-us-auto-sales-extend-freefall-in-third-quarter.html |
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OpenAI closes funding at $157 billion valuation, as Microsoft, Nvidia, SoftBank join roundOpenAI closed its long-awaited funding round, announcing that it raised $6.6 billion at a $157 billion post-money valuation. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/openai-raises-at-157-billion-valuation-microsoft-nvidia-join-round.html |
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Dow ekes out narrow gain Wednesday as Middle East tensions weigh on markets: Live updatesThe major averages ended Wednesday near the flatline as escalating tensions in the Middle East weighed on markets. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/01/stock-market-today-live-updates.html |
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‘Make them riot’ — Trump election case judge unseals special counsel motion on immunitySpecial counsel Jack Smith is continuing efforts to prosecute Donald Trump as the Republican faces Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential election. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/trump-special-counsel-evidence-election-harris.html |
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The big catalyst for the week: How to trade Friday’s job reportJPMorgan traders laid out their predictions for how the S&P 500 could react under five separate scenarios. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/the-big-catalyst-for-the-week-how-to-trade-fridays-job-report.html |
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Costco adds platinum bars to its precious metals lineupGold bars launched at Costco in August 2023, and not even two months later were selling out within hours of a restock. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/costco-adds-platinum-bars-to-its-precious-metals-lineup.html |
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Tesla stock slips after EV maker misses estimates on deliveriesTesla’s third-quarter deliveries report follows a rally in the stock price over the past few months. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/tesla-tsla-q3-2024-vehicle-delivery-and-production-numbers.html |
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Bitwise files with SEC to launch XRP ETF: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what’s ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today’s show, James Angel of Georgetown breaks down crypto policy expectations for both presidential candidates. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/10/02/bitwise-files-with-sec-to-launch-xrp-etf-cnbc-crypto-world.html |
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After a decade of Elon Musk promising Tesla robotaxis, here’s what we knowElon Musk has spent a decade promising to turn Teslas into robotaxis. CNBC explores whether the company is ready to pivot to autonomy. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/elon-musks-decade-long-journey-to-tesla-robotaxis-.html |
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Diamond Sports looks to drop 11 MLB teams from Bally Sports regional networksDiamond Sports told a bankruptcy judge it currently plans to drop all MLB teams from its Bally Sports networks with the exception of the Atlanta Braves. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/diamond-sports-mlb-baseball-bally-sports-regional-networks.html |
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CNBC’s No. 1 financial advisor has a golden rule: ‘We do not time the market’Heritage Investment Group came in at No. 1 on CNBC’s list of the top 100 financial advisors in the U.S. for 2024. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/cnbcs-no-1-advisor-has-a-golden-rule-we-do-not-time-the-market.html |
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The CNBC FA 100 ranking recognizes advisory firms that help clients navigate competing financial goalsThe CNBC FA 100 recognizes advisory firms that help clients navigate competing financial goals. This annual ranking can help you find an advisor. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/02/cnbc-fa-100-ranking-recognizes-top-financial-advisors-for-2024.html |
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JPM Analysts Flip-Flop iPhone 16 Demand Forecast In Just Three DaysApple shares are hovering around $227 on Wednesday afternoon, commanding a market capitalization of $3.45 trillion. With shares near all-time highs, the last thing bulls want to hear is how quickly some of Wall Street’s top analysts are downshifting their outlook on iPhone 16 demand. In other words, the hype around the AI-enabled iPhone and its supposed ignition of the most massive upgrade cycle seems to have been nothing more than a giant flop this fall—at least for now. Let’s begin with the most epic flip-flop in coverage. On Sept. 27, a team of JPM analysts led by Samik Chatterjee and Joseph Cardoso penned a note to clients titled “Lead Times Suggest Slower Initial Demand for Pro Models Starting to Correct.” In the note, JPM analysts cited their Apple Product Availability Tracker, which showed lead times for iPhone 16 models moderated, with lead times for base models seeing a notable reduction while Pro models remained stable. They conclud … Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/jpm-analysts-flip-flop-iphone-16-demand-forecast-just-three-days |
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Life In Kamala’s CaliforniaAuthored by Edward Ring via American Greatness, It’s election season, and because California is a one-party state, we don’t see very many campaign ads for Kamala Harris. But ballot initiatives are another story. One hotly contested ballot initiative, Proposition 33, if approved by voters, will enable California’s cities and counties to impose rent control. How the rent control advocates make their case is typical. Greed and oppression against hapless, helpless, innocent victims. But the government is here to help! Ads in favor of Prop. 33 are masterpieces in emotional imagery. One after another, a diverse collection of beleaguered tenants appear on the television screen, each of them repeating the phrase “The rent’s too high.” Another ad promoting a yes vote on Prop. 33 follows the same pattern, bu … Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/life-kamalas-california |
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OPEC+ Leaves Current Output Cut Policy Unchanged at JMMCThe OPEC+ joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) concluded on Wednesday, with the ministers refraining from making any changes to production policy, maintaining the plan to start raising output in December. “The JMMC emphasized the critical importance of achieving full conformity and compensation. Furthermore, the Committee will continuously assess market conditions,” OPEC said in a post-meeting statement, according to Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com. Once again, ministers cautioned cartel members who continue to produce above quota.
The WSJ reported on Wednesday that Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz … Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/opec-leaves-current-output-cut-policy-unchanged-jmmc |
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Biden Scolds Ocean Carriers For Not Paying Dockworkers “Fair” WagesBy John Gallagher of FreightWaves President Joe Biden broke his silence on the labor dispute between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) by accusing employers of hoarding profits. “Ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic and in some cases profits grew in excess of 800 percent compared to their profits prior to the pandemic,” Biden said in a statement issued by the White House on Tuesday, after the ILA went on strike at 14 ports on the U.S. East and Gulf coasts, halting container and roll-on/roll-off operations at 36 marine terminals. “Executive compensation has grown in line with those profits and profits have been returned to shareholders at record rates. It’s only fair that workers, who put themselves at risk during the pandemic to keep ports open, see a meaningful increase in their wages as well.” Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/biden-scolds-ocean-carriers-not-paying-dockworkers-fair-wages |
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The chancellor says she needs to raise £20bn. How might she do it?The chancellor says there is a black hole in the public finances. Evan Davis asks how it might be filled. Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ced0553gdzzo |
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Ex-Harrods director won’t take top job at FenwickNigel Blow, who worked for Mohamed Al Fayed at Harrods for 14 years, was due to start the new role this month. Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq5ejjnp812o |
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‘Just pay up,’ says Post Office scandal victimCampaigners had called for a deadline of March 2025 for payments to be made to some sub-postmasters. Read more at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp3wvdlq7pwo |
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F&O clampdown: How will Sebi’s new rules affect traders and brokersSebi introduces measures to curb speculative trading in derivatives, including increased contract sizes and upfront premium collection, aiming to protect investors while potentially limiting trading flexibility and broker revenues. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/fo-clampdown-how-do-sebis-new-rules-affect-traders-and-brokers/articleshow/113874035.cms |
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Market Trading Guide: EID Parry, Deepak Fertilizers among 5 stock recommendations for ThursdayIndian indices ended flat amid mixed performances, with Reliance and HDFC Bank dragging down. Analysts recommend stocks like Chambal Fertilizers and EID Parry for potential gains amid cautious sentiment. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/market-trading-guide-eid-parry-deepak-fertilizers-among-5-stock-recommendations-for-thursday/articleshow/113871889.cms |
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IIFL Home Finance likely to hit retail bond market in Q3 after three yearsIIFL Home Finance plans its first retail fundraise in three years to diversify its liabilities. Filing a draft prospectus to raise up to Rs 3,000 crore, it aims for an initial fundraise of Rs 300-500 crore this quarter. The strategy follows RBI’s move to limit NBFCs’ bank borrowing, impacting their usual funding sources. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/bonds/iifl-home-finance-likely-to-hit-retail-bond-market-in-q3-after-three-years/articleshow/113877538.cms |
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Why the dubious ‘sell Rosh Hashanah, buy Yom Kippur’ investing strategy looks even more complicated this OctoberMiddle East tensions, the port strike and the upcoming election make a case for cautious trading in October, say analysts. Read more at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-dubious-sell-rosh-hashanah-buy-yom-kippur-investing-strategy-looks-even-more-complicated-this-october-fc980078?mod=mw_rss_topstories |
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10-year Treasury yield rises from 1-week low as inflation worries returnTwo- and 10-year Treasury yields finished higher for the fourth time in the past six sessions on Wednesday amid lingering inflation concerns and after a private-sector hiring report showed U.S. businesses added 143,000 jobs last month. Read more at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/treasury-yields-reverse-safe-haven-falls-as-oil-prices-rise-u-s-dock-strike-continues-ba2bce14?mod=mw_rss_topstories |
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Oil prices end at 2-week high as Israel weighs response to Iran missile attackOil futures settled Wednesday at their highest in two weeks, modestly extending a rally from a day earlier, as investors awaited Israel’s response to a massive missile barrage by Iran on Tuesday which stoked fears of a wider conflict that could impede flows of crude from the Middle East. Read more at: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-prices-rise-over-3-as-israel-weighs-response-to-iran-missile-attack-c36cba8b?mod=mw_rss_topstories |