It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Mar 28 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Mar 28 2024 – 12Z Sat Mar 30 2024…Rainy, stormy weather continues along the East Coast through today,
lingering in New England Friday……Unsettled weather for the West, with a late season Atmospheric River
impacting California Friday……Warming trend begins over Central U.S. today…
Two slow moving frontal boundaries will continue to push towards the East
Coast today, with the leading front pushing into the Atlantic by early
afternoon and the second front slowing approaching the coast while
weakening through this evening. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will
continue through today along the East Coast but taper off from south to
north as the leading front exits. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible
over portions of the eastern Mid-Atlantic and coastal New England, which
may cause isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding. The highest
risk for flash flooding will be over eastern North Carolina and far
southeastern Virginia as a wave of low pressure moves along the frontal
boundary today, and there is a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level
2/4) for this area. Precipitation chances will likely linger through
Friday for portions of New England as low pressure strengthens just east
of the region. Colder air moving in from the north will allow rain to
switch to wintry mixed precipitation and snow overnight into Friday for
inland areas. Winds will also become gusty in the Northeast on Friday and
Saturday as the low strengthens and the pressure gradient tightens.Meanwhile, a frontal system will push southeast across much of the West
with unsettled weather today into Friday. Mountain snow and low elevation
rain will impact the region, and locally heavy snow will be possible for
regional mountain ranges from the Pacific Northwest southward into
northern/central California, as well as for the eastern Great Basin into
the northern/central Rockies. Low pressure associated with the
southeastward moving frontal system will push into the northern and
central Plains on Friday and reach the Great Lakes region by Saturday
morning. This will bring chances for wintry precipitation to the Upper
Midwest and northern Great Lakes and chances for showers and thunderstorms
to portions of the Midwest and Ohio Valley.On Friday afternoon, a Pacific low pressure system will approach the
California coast. This system will aim a plume of moisture (an atmospheric
river) at central and southern California Friday night into Saturday,
which will result in heavy rainfall and potentially flash flooding. There
is a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 2/4) for portions of coastal
southern California on Friday and Saturday where upslope flow along
terrain will likely enhance rainfall totals and could lead to scattered
instances flooding.Temperature-wise, lows this morning will be chilly, dropping into the low
to mid-30s across portions of the Mid-South into the Tennessee Valley
following a cold front passage, and Frost/Freeze-related advisories and
warnings are in place for newly greening sensitive vegetation. Increasing
upper-level ridging over will bring warmer, above average temperatures to
portions of the Central U.S. today, to the Plains, Mississippi Valley, and
Midwest on Friday, and to the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on Saturday.
Below average high temperatures are forecast for much of the West through
the weekend due to expected cloud cover and precipitation and for the
northern high Plains Friday through the weekend as colder air moves in
behind a cold front.
To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.
| Notices: What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles. These links may also be useful for those viewing this article on a cell phone or other small screen.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
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10
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14 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittent so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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