It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Feb 14 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Feb 14 2024 – 12Z Fri Feb 16 2024…Quick-hitting wave of low pressure will bring a round of heavy,
accumulating snowfall across the Northern Plains, Upper Midwest, and the
Great Lakes today and Thursday……Next Pacific storm system will bring locally heavy rain along the West
Coast and heavy high elevation snowfall into the Intermountain West over
the next couple of days…
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
Notices: What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article.
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
In the wake of the most recent multi-day storm system that traversed the
South, and impacted the Mid-Atlantic and New England as a strong
nor’easter, much more tranquil weather is expected over the next the next
couple of days for these locations which will allow for many areas to get
a chance to dry out. Temperatures along the Eastern Seaboard will be
generally below normal today, but milder air should arrive by Thursday
from the Midwest and Ohio Valley which will support temperatures gradually
returning back to above normal.The next focus for unsettled weather will begin today across the northern
High Plains as an area of low pressure forming along a front is expected
to then quickly advance east toward the Midwest by tonight, and reach the
Great Lakes region on Thursday. A swath of heavy, accumulating snowfall is
expected north of the low track, and locally several inches of new snow is
expected going through Thursday. This system will then quickly advancing
into the Northeast on Friday bringing another round of at least light to
moderate snow here to round out the week. In the wake of this next surface
low, the passage of a cold front will set the stage for at least some
modified Arctic air to begin advancing south from Canada, and this will
begin to allow temperatures to once again trend below normal across areas
of the northern Plains and Midwest by the end of the week.Meanwhile, a new storm system will also be arriving today from the Pacific
Ocean which will bring unsettled weather for the next couple of days into
the West Coast and the Intermountain West. Areas of moderate to locally
heavy rain can be expected for the coastal ranges of the Pacific Northwest
and extending south down into northern California. Moisture and energy
associated with this storm system will advance well inland, especially by
Thursday, and this will foster heavy snow over the higher elevations which
will include not only the Cascades and the Sierra Nevada, but also the
northern Rockies where colder temperatures filtering south from Canada
will help facilitate a more widespread heavy snowfall threat. Some favored
terrain of the northern Rockies will include the Sawtooth, Bitterroots,
Tetons, and Absaroka Range. Locally as much as 1 to 3 feet of new snow
will be possible across all of these locations going through early Friday.
Snow associated with this system will be overspreading areas farther east
out into the northern Plains on Friday which will yield a renewed winter
weather threat here to end the week.Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
6– 10
8– 14
3– 4
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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I hope you found this article interesting and useful. –
