This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
We start with the U.S. Information. That is the longest part of the article. Then we have a short section on World Weather and then we address the Tropics. When there are tropical storms that might impact the U.S. we provide more detailed information which updates frequently on those storms.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the report as I have moved the highlights into the body of the report.
Yes, indeed I have been able to add the Ski Report. I probably could add a way to enter a zip code and get a 10-day forecast for that zip code but that is easily done from a computer or smartphone. The purpose of this article is to provide a daily overview of the current weather in the U.S. with enough information to understand why the weather will be what it is and how it is likely to change over the next few days and the next few weeks.
I do not get paid for writing this article but I want to keep track of how many read it as that is how I can tell if I am providing the information that readers want and find useful. I have access to information that might be difficult to find for most readers. And it is in one place.
| Notices: We recently published a review of October weather worldwide and you can access that article HERE. And a review of October weather for the U.S. which you can access HERE. We have now published the NOAA Seasonal Update which you can access HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Nov 27 2023
Valid 12Z Mon Nov 27 2023 – 12Z Wed Nov 29 2023…Heavy lake-effect snowfall downwind of the Great Lakes early this
week……Below average temperatures continue for much of the country for at
least the next few days…
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear)
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
Mean northwesterly cyclonic flow over the Great Lakes as low pressure
pivots through the region will continue to bring lake-effect snows to
favorable locations south of Lake Superior and east of Lake Michigan
Monday. The heaviest additional snowfall will be south of Lake Superior in
the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, with 4-6″, locally higher, expected.
Another 2-4″ will be possible east of Lake Michigan over the western Lower
Peninsula of Michigan. The focus then shifts eastward later Monday and
into Tuesday as very heavy bands of lake-effect snow are forecast
downwind/east of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Totals of 12-18″ are forecast
in the heavier snow bands, with locally higher totals over 2 feet
possible. Otherwise, the rest of the country will be mostly dry outside of
some lingering showers for coastal Maine Monday as low pressure departs to
the northeast. Some light snow accumulations will also continue further
northward into Maine. A Pacific system moving towards the northern/central
California coast may bring some showers by later Tuesday.The other main story weather-wise will be continued high temperatures
running 10-20 degrees below average for much of the country following a
series of frontal passages and broad upper troughing in place over the
eastern/central U.S. Highs along the East Coast Monday will be a bit more
moderate than this weekend before a cold front brings chillier
temperatures Tuesday. Highs Tuesday will be in the 30s and 40s for New
England, the Mid-Atlantic, and even into the Carolinas, with 50s for the
Southeast and Gulf Coast/north Florida. Chilly highs in the 20s and 30s
are expected for the Great Lakes/Midwest with 30s and 40s from the Central
Plains into the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Highs will be in the
50s for Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley.While temperatures in some portions of the Interior West from the Great
Basin into the Central Rockies will remain below average, with highs in
the 30s and 40s, the West overall will see more moderate temperatures as
an upper-level ridge passes over the region. Areas in the Northern Rockies
southward through the adjacent northern and central High Plains will see
highs into the 40s and 50s by Tuesday. The Pacific Northwest will be in
the 50s with 60s southward into California and 70s into the Desert
Southwest. However, morning lows near or below freezing will continue to
remain a concern for sensitive vegetation in portions of northern coastal
California and the central California valleys.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts.
Day 1
Day 2
Here is another map but it is not the existing level of snow but the snowfall in the recent six hours.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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