Updated at 5:10 p.m. EDT Sunday June 4, 2023
Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
352 PM EDT Sun Jun 04 2023Valid 00Z Mon Jun 05 2023 – 00Z Wed Jun 07 2023
…Areas of heavy rain and flash flooding possible across the southern
High Plains over the next few days……Above average temperatures remain throughout the northern Plains and
build into the Pacific Northwest by Tuesday…
| Information Note: This article is now set up so that all the maps should automatically update. The links are provided but should not be needed. The downside is that if you go back to a previous version the maps will have been updated and not be relevant to the date of the prior article but will be current information. The NWS twice-a-day 48-hour forecasts do not auto-update in this article. I do it and I can be late doing it. The link for the NWS updates is HERE. Most of our other articles will not be set up to auto-update so that prior versions of the article will be meaningful.
Recently, we published the Weather Update for June. You can access it HERE. We also published the Weekly Crop Report. It can be accessed HERE. Remember the easiest way to get back to the article you were reading is to hit the return arrow in the upper left of your screen. There are other ways. |
First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear)
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
A continuing stagnant upper-level pattern is forecast to remain over North
America the next couple of days, with upper-level lows deepening by
Tuesday near the Northeast and Southwest, providing a focus for areas of
unsettled weather. Instances of flash flooding remain a notable weather
hazard throughout the southern High Plains each day into the beginning of
this week. Recent rainfall has overly saturated ground conditions and left
much of northeast New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle highly susceptible to
renewed flash flooding. Additionally, burn scars throughout the higher
terrain of New Mexico are also sensitive to intense rainfall rates leading
to rapid runoff. To further highlight the flooding concerns, a Slight Risk
(level 2/4) of Excessive Rainfall remains in effect through early Monday
morning from western Oklahoma to northeast New Mexico, including the Texas
Panhandle. A Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall continues across northeast
New Mexico on Monday and Tuesday. Elsewhere, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also expected throughout the remaining of the High
Plains, southern Plains, Rockies, and northern Great Basin. Some storms in
these regions may also produce intense downpours and lead to localized
flash flooding.A strengthening low pressure system off the coast of New England will
provide cool temperatures and numerous showers the next few days as it
very slowly pushes northward into Nova Scotia. To its west, a sinking cold
front entering the Great Lakes and northern Plains may spark scattered
showers and storms throughout the region, while also offering relief from
the well above average temperatures. Cooler air is forecast to remain
along the East Coast and Northeast while impacted by consistent northerly
flow, which may allow for skies to become opaque as far west as the Ohio
Valley due to expansive wildfires in Quebec, Canada.Outside of typical summertime impulse thunderstorms throughout the Deep
South and central U.S., the other weather story of note involves well
above average temperatures building into the Pacific Northwest by Tuesday
as upper-level ridging squeezes westward to the north of a closed
upper-level low over the Southwest. Highs into the upper 80s and low 90s
are expected for this region.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6
– 10
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| 8
– 14 |
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| 3
– 4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
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Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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