Updated at 10:40 p.m. EST Tuesday, February 7, 2023
Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.
It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
216 PM EST Tue Feb 07 2023Valid 00Z Wed Feb 08 2023 – 00Z Fri Feb 10 2023
…Heavy snow through tonight for portions of the Cascades and northern
Rockies……Scattered severe thunderstorms and flash flooding possible Wednesday in
the middle and lower Mississippi Valley……Heavy snow possible in parts of the Upper Midwest and freezing rain
possible in the higher elevations of the Northeast on Thursday...
| Information Note: This article is now set up so that all the maps should automatically update. The links are provided but should not be needed. The downside is that if you go back to a previous version the maps will have been updated and not be relevant to the date of the prior article but will be current information. The NWS twice-a-day 48-hour forecasts do not auto-update in this article. I do it and I can be late doing it. The link for the NWS updates is HERE. Most of our other articles will not be set up to auto-update so that prior versions of the article will be meaningful. |
First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. I try to keep the below three maps updated. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. I will be doing the updating during the period described in the title of the article but if you happen to read this article later, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear)
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast (It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
The frontal system that is currently banked up against the coast of the
Pacific Northwest will push inland this evening and continue to push
across the Northwest through Wednesday. Moisture will stream ahead of and
along the cold front, and heavy snow expected in the higher elevations of
the Cascades and northern Rocky mountains through tonight into Wednesday.
By Wednesday night, the cold front will emerge into the Plains and
continue to push southeastwards. Cooler air in the wake of the front will
result max temperatures briefly dropping 5-10 degrees below average. High
pressure will build over the West behind the front, then the next frontal
system will approach the coastal Pacific Northwest Thursday night into
Friday.In the eastern US, a cold front stretched from the Great Lakes region
through Central Texas this afternoon. The northern half of this front will
continue east across the Northeast tonight followed by a secondary cold
front on Wednesday. The southern half of the front will stall as low
pressure strengthens over the southern Plains tonight. Southerly flow will
push warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico into the lower and middle
Mississippi Valley on Wednesday, which will provide support for the
development of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and night.
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible, and the Storm Prediction
Center has issued a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms (level 2/5). The
main storm hazards will be damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and possibly
some hail. In addition, locally heavy rain may result in isolated to
scattered instances of flash flooding. Precipitation will shift to the
Southeast on Friday as the frontal system progresses, and the threat of
severe weather will lower with only isolated severe thunderstorms and
flash flooding expected.The low pressure center over the southern Plains will surge northeast late
Wednesday and track across the Great Lakes by Thursday night. Snow and
mixed wintry precipitation are forecast for parts of the Upper Midwest and
Northeast on Thursday. Snow could be heavy at times, mainly in Wisconsin
and northern Michigan, and freezing rain could cause ice to accumulate in
the higher elevations of the Northeast, mainly parts of the Catskills,
Adirondacks, and northern New England mountains. On Friday, the low
pressure center will continue northeast into Canada and the trailing cold
front will push off the east coast.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
Work in progress
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– 10
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| 8
– 14 |
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| 3 – 4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Month to Date Information
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the 5-Day forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking h ere Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.-
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
