Updated at 3:25 p.m. Monday, January 30, 2023
Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.
It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 PM EST Mon Jan 30 2023Valid 00Z Tue Jan 31 2023 – 00Z Thu Feb 02 2023
…Prolonged and potentially significant icing event to impact a large
area from the southern Plains to the Tennessee Valley……Frigid temperatures over the central and western United States to begin
moderating early this week……Heavy rain and scattered flash floods possible across eastern Texas and
the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday…
First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. I try to keep the below three maps updated. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. I will be doing the updating during the period described in the title of the article but if you happen to read this article later, you can get updates by clicking HERE.
MONDAY AFTERNOON, EVENING, AND OVERNIGHT
TUESDAY
WEDNESDAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast (It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
The headlining weather story over the next several days will be the
long-duration ice storm across portions of the Southern Plains and
Mid-South that is ongoing and forecast to continue into Wednesday. In the
wake of the arctic frontal boundary passage, warm, moist air overrunning
cold air along the boundary draped across the region will produce freezing
rain and sleet that could lead to significant impacts. Furthermore,
multiple rounds of wintry precipitation are forecast, with light freezing
rain and sleet expected through Monday evening and continuing on and off
through at least Wednesday. Widespread ice accumulations of greater than a
quarter of an inch are likely, with localized areas receiving as much as
half an inch. In addition to potentially hazardous travel conditions, this
amount of ice will lead to tree damage and power outages across the
hardest-hit regions. Sleet accumulations up to a half inch are also
possible along the far northern sections of the precipitation shield from
northern Texas to northern Arkansas, which can also lead to treacherous
travel or add to the already slippery conditions. As a result, Ice Storm
Warnings, Winter Storm Warnings, and Winter Weather Advisories have been
issued.The cold airmass responsible for the icy forecast in the Mid-South will
also lead to a frigid start to the new workweek throughout the remainder
of the central U.S. and into the western states. Widespread temperature
departures of 20-30 degrees below average are forecast throughout much of
the Plains and Intermountain West, with daytime highs in the single digits
possible through Wednesday in the northern stretches of the High Plains.
Bitterly cold air, coupled with gusty winds, has led to the issuance of
Wind Chill Advisories across the central and northern Plains, with wind
chill values forecast to drop to as low as -40F in the Dakotas and
Minnesota on Tuesday morning. Fortunately, the bitter cold airmass will
gradually warm through midweek, but temperatures are forecast to still
remain below average for a majority of the nation outside of the Southeast.As the arctic cold front responsible for the wintry conditions across the
Southern Plains and Mid-South slowly advances southward, low pressure
developing along the boundary will lead to a northward surge of moisture
across eastern Texas and Louisiana on Wednesday, producing multiple rounds
of heavy rain. A swath of 1-2″ rainfall totals is possible across much of
the aforementioned region, leading to a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall
being issued for eastern Texas and western Louisiana.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Month to Date Information
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the 5-Day forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.-
I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |