Updated at 7:07 p.m. Thursday January 5, 2023
Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Thursday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 243 PM EST Thu Jan 05 2023 Valid 00Z Fri Jan 06 2023 - 00Z Sun Jan 08 2023 ...Next round of excessive rainfall to enter northern California late Friday before gradually expanding southward this weekend... ...Heavy snow possible across parts of the Intermountain West and central Rockies through the end of the week... ...Light snow continues throughout parts of the Great Lakes and New England...
First, the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, EVENING, AND OVERNIGHT
FRIDAY
SATURDAY
I try to keep the above maps updated. They only update twice a day and in some cases once a day.
I will be doing the updating during the period described in the title of the article but if you happen to read this article later you can get updates by clicking HERE.
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast (It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
California continues to take the brunt of the impactful weather today over the Lower 48 and is expected to continue experiencing waves of heavy precipitation and strong winds into the first full weekend of 2023. Moderate rainfall and high elevation snow is anticipated to diminish across the Golden State tonight as the current atmospheric river comes to an end. Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect across the Sierra Nevada and Flood Watches remain over both central and coastal regions of California into early Friday. As the overall wet pattern remains locked in place over the West Coast, the next surge of moisture to move inland is forecast to enter northern California and southwest Oregon late Friday. Rainfall could become hazardous and lead to scattered instances of flash flooding over the coastal ranges of northern California. The consistent stream of moisture being funneled out of the tropical Pacific will continue into Saturday and gradually expand into more central portions of the state. Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with locally higher totals are possible and could exacerbate flooding concerns throughout what has become a very saturated region. Additionally, the high elevations of the Sierra Nevada and northern California will experience more rounds of heavy snow as moisture reaches eastward, with the heavier snowfall rates forecast to remain over the northern California mountains on Saturday and eventually spread southward by Sunday. The remaining moisture that is able to progress eastward into the Intermountain West tonight will likely lead to heavy mountain snow into the Utah high elevations. Snow totals up to 18 inches are possible and will make travel treacherous at times. Snow is forecast to linger through early Friday before spreading into the central Rockies. Farther east, an upper-level low over the Great Lakes continues to produce light snow showers over the Great Lakes while a cold front extends off the East Coast and a developing weak wave of low pressure pushes from the Mid-Atlantic to southern New England early Friday. This wave of low pressure may lead to an enhancement of precipitation that falls in the form of snow throughout New England for the Friday morning commute. Roads could become slippery, especially where heavier snowfall rates occur. Elsewhere, a wave of low pressure pushing into the mid-Mississippi Valley early Saturday (along with an attached cold front) will likely spawn an area of showers and thunderstorms extending southward into eastern Texas. Light snow, sleet, and freezing rain are possible over Ohio Valley to the north of a lifting warm front, but limited impacts are currently expected. Snell
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Month to Date Information
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the current precipitation forecast and the 10-Day forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and additional information can be obtained HERE
Much of this information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |