14Dec2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Markets Decline – Federal Reserve Is Viewed As Hawkish Even With A 50 Basis Point Increase In The Federal Funds Rate

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 143 points or 0.42%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 0.76%,
  • S&P 500 closed down 0.61%,
  • Gold $1819 down $6.30,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $77 up $1.98,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.476% down 0.026 points,
  • USD index $103.63 down $0.35,
  • Bitcoin $17,827 up $54.60

Click here to read our Economic Forecast for December 2022


Today’s Economic Releases:

U.S. import prices moderated in November 2022 to 2.7% year-over-year from 4.1% the previous month. Lower nonfuel and fuel prices contributed to the November decline in U.S. import prices. U.S. export prices also moderated to 6.3% from 7.4% the previous month. Lower nonagricultural prices in November more than offset higher agricultural prices. This is another sign that inflation is moderating.

The number of CEO changes at U.S. companies rose 34% from 71 in October to 95 in November 2022. November’s total is down 3% from the 98 CEOs who left their posts in the same month last year, according to a report released Wednesday by global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.
So far this year, companies have announced 1,135 CEO exits, down 8% from the 1,231 CEOs who left their posts through November 2021. It is the lowest January-to-November total since 2017, when 1,065 CEO exits were announced.
The Federal Reserve’s FOMC decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2% – which is a 50 basis point increase from the former 3.75% to 4% rate. This was in line with market expectations – and this increase was a modest decline from the previous 75 basis points increases. The Fed also released their economic projections where in general inflation will be lower next year and GDP about the same as 2022.

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • WTO Ruling Reignites U.S.-China Trade Spat
  • Fed Raises Interest Rates By Half Percentage Point
  • Here’s what changed in the new Fed statement
  • Fed interest rate hike sends business loans to steepest cost since 2007, breaking 10% sticker shock level
  • Another Big Reversal FOMC Day: Markets Call Hawkish Fed’s Bluff
  • Powell Opens The Door To Higher Inflation Target “As Part Of A Longer-Term Project”
  • Deportations Plunge Under Biden In US Interior: Data
  • Fed hikes rates again and warns of more rises

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

The Market in Perspective

Here are the headlines moving the markets.

WTO Ruling Reignites U.S.-China Trade Spat

By AG Metal Miner In the latest US steel news, a WTO ruling has sparked a new war of words between the United States and China. Last weekend, the WTO finally ruled on the 25% taxes on global steel imports and 10% import tariffs on aluminum imposed under former US President Donald Trump. The WTO dispute settlement panel ruled that these taxes violated their rules. That was enough for China, the most affected party, to lambast the US for its protectionist policies. They also asked the country to correct its wrongdoings and work with

Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/WTO-Ruling-Reignites-US-China-Trade-Spat.html

What’s Next For The EU’s Eastern Partnership?

On December 12, the foreign ministers of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine will meet (via video link) with their 27 EU counterparts in Brussels for a scheduled three-hour “Eastern Partnership (EaP) foreign ministers meeting.” Few concrete outcomes are expected — and the question likely on the minds of many politicians and bureaucrats is whether the Eastern Partnership has outlived its purpose. Created back in 2009 after a Polish-Swedish initiative, the EaP aimed to bring six former Soviet republics closer to the bloc without the

Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Whats-Next-For-The-EUs-Eastern-Partnership.html

Fed Raises Interest Rates By Half Percentage Point

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by half a percentage point at the conclusion of its two-day meeting Wednesday, in a move that represents a shrinking of the magnitude of rate hikes after Tuesday CPI data showing inflation had easy to 7.1% in the 12 months to November. While the Federal Reserve Chairman was still speaking as of 2:22 p.m. EST, with investors paying close attention to any indications about future Fed policy, CNBC cited NatWest strategist John Briggs as calling the speech hawkish so far, referring to the

Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Fed-Raises-Interest-Rates-By-Half-Percentage-Point.html

Georgia Aims To Resume Construction Of Controversial Deep Sea Port

Georgia’s government says it will revive a multi-billion-dollar deep sea port project at Anaklia, on the Black Sea coast, as the country sees a steep rise in demand for cargo transportation amid Russia’s war on Ukraine. Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili announced on December 12 that the state will own a controlling share in the new port, though he provided few details about how the project would be financed. The decision comes almost three years after Tbilisi withdrew from Anaklia amid political controversy and fears of the economic

Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/Georgia-Aims-To-Resume-Construction-Of-Controversial-Deep-Sea-Port.html

Investors Run For Exit As Brazil Lets Politicians Run State-Run Firms

Brazilian financial markets were left in turmoil after the lower house of Congress voted late on Tuesday to make it easier for politicians to take roles at state-run firms, causing a market rout on Wednesday, Reuters reports. The bill, which now heads to the Senate, seeks to cut the quarantine for people with decision-making roles in political parties or electoral campaigns to take positions at state-owned companies from 36 months to just one month. Shares in state-run firms were some of the hardest hits, with oil company Petroleo Brasileiro

Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Investors-Run-For-Exit-As-Brazil-Lets-Politicians-Run-State-Run-Firms.html

China’s Reopening Sparks A Surge In Air Travel

Beijing’s abrupt end to zero Covid policies that shuttered factories and cities and crushed economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy has produced at least one of the first signs of green shoots: Air travel rebound. Chinese aviation data company VariFlight reported domestic flight activity soared to 65% of pre-pandemic levels Monday, from only 22% on Nov. 29, according to Bloomberg. Thousands of flights are returning to the skies as air travel demand rebounds ahead of Lunar New Year next month. Surging air travel demand is expected

Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Chinas-Reopening-Sparks-A-Surge-In-Air-Travel.html

‘Avatar: The Way of Water’ could be heading for a $175 million box office opening

The long-awaited sequel “Avatar: The Way of Water” is set to snare between $150 million and $175 million domestically during its opening weekend.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/avatar-the-way-of-water-heads-for-175-million-box-office-opening.html

Delta expects 2023 earnings to nearly double thanks to ‘robust’ travel demand

Delta expects its adjusted earnings to nearly double to as much as $6 per share next year, above analysts’ estimates.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/delta-2023-earnings-forecast-sees-robust-travel-demand.html

Mortgage demand inches higher as interest rates move lower

Borrowers are finally reacting to lower mortgage rates, boosting demand for both refinances and loans to purchase homes.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/mortgage-demand-inches-higher-as-interest-rates-move-lower-.html

Dollar General’s new Popshelf stores chase inflation-weary shoppers in the suburbs

Dollar General said it sees opportunity to grow to 3,000 Popshelf stores across the country.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/13/inflation-dollar-general-chases-suburban-shoppers-popshelf.html

Ford boosts production of electric F-150 Lightning pickup truck

Ford Motor has added a third production shift to its Michigan plant that produces the electric F-150 Lightning as it looks to boost output.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/13/ford-moves-to-boost-production-of-electric-f-150-lightning-pickup-truck.html

‘Harry & Meghan’ becomes Netflix’s biggest-ever documentary debut

Netflix’s documentary series about Britain’s Prince Harry and his wife, Meghan, has become the streaming platform’s biggest documentary debut yet.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/harry-and-meghan-biggest-netflix-documentary-debut.html

Here’s what changed in the new Fed statement

This is a comparison of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee statement with the one issued after the Fed’s previous policymaking meeting on Nov. 2.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/heres-what-changed-in-decembers-federal-reserve-statement.html

Fed interest rate hike sends business loans to steepest cost since 2007, breaking 10% sticker shock level

The Fed rate hike of half a percentage point moves the Prime Rate to a level that means business owners will be paying 10%-plus interest on debt.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/fed-rate-hike-pushes-business-loans-over-10percent-for-first-time-since-2007.html

Health insurance is helping cool inflation. But ‘it’s not a very good reflection’ of what people pay, cautions economist

Health insurance prices deflated the last two months, per the consumer price index, and are poised to fall more. That may not reflect what consumers pay.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/heres-how-health-insurance-is-helping-to-cool-inflation.html

Stocks making the biggest moves midday: SoFi Technologies, Charter Communications, Delta and more

These are the stocks posting the largest moves midday.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-midday-sofi-technologies-charter-communications-delta-and-more.html

Jim Cramer’s Investing Club meeting Wednesday: Fed decision, Qualcomm, Eli Lilly

The Investing Club holds its “Morning Meeting” every weekday at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/jim-cramers-investing-club-meeting-wednesday-fed-decision-qualcomm.html

Billionaire Ken Griffin sues the IRS after his tax records were disclosed

Billionaire Ken Griffin has sued the IRS and the Treasury Department over the “unlawful disclosure” of his tax information.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/13/billionaire-ken-griffin-sues-irs-over-tax-disclosure.html

Tesla shares have fallen 28% since Elon Musk took over Twitter, lagging other carmakers

Musk sold billions of dollars worth of his Tesla holdings to finance the Twitter takeover and has been embroiled in controversy ever since.

Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/13/tesla-stock-down-28percent-since-elon-musk-took-over-twitter.html

Another Big Reversal FOMC Day: Markets Call Hawkish Fed’s Bluff

The day started off with a drop in import and export price inflation. But that was just a side-show as stocks limped higher into the main event.

Then The Fed and Powell’s presser smashed the vase of fantasy on the ground of reality with a hawkish statement and projections and an even more hawkish Powell.

POWELL: LABOR MARKET REMAINS EXTREMELY TIGHT

POWELL: A RESTRICTIVE POLICY STANCE LIKELY NEEDED FOR SOME TIME

POWELL: NEED SUBSTANTIALLY MORE EVIDENCE OF LOWER INFLATION

POWELL: FED STILL HAS SOME WAYS TO GO ON RATE HIKES

POWELL: STANCE ISN’T YET RESTRICTIVE ENOUGH EVEN W/ TODAY’S MOVE

POWELL: NO RATE CUTS UNTIL CONFIDENT INFLATION MOVING TOWARD 2%

POWELL: WILL HAVE TO HOLD RESTRICTIVE RATES FOR SUSTAINED TIME

All of which sent rate-hike expectations surging, but they gave back some of that hawkishness as Powell spoke…

Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/markets-swing-wildly-hawkish-powell-pummels-pause-narrative-then-opens-door

Powell Opens The Door To Higher Inflation Target “As Part Of A Longer-Term Project”

While Powell showered the market with trite platitudes, eager to convince the market that the market is wrong in expecting the Fed to not only push the economy into a recession, but to end 2023 with a 5.1% rate (the market-implied rate is 4.36%, more than 70bps below the Fed’s forecast anticipating at least one rate cut from the current level), the most important exchange at the Powell press conference took place when someone asked the central banker if the Fed’s 2% inflation target would be changed (a topic of great significance, and one which we have covered extensively here, here and here).

So what did Powell respond? Well, at first blush, nothing one didn’t expect and certainly nothing that could have crushed the Fed’s credibility in a millisecond (because that’s precisely what raising the inflation target from 2% to 3% will do, not to mention pushing gold from $1800 to $10,000 and bitcoin limit up). Indeed, the word salad out of Powell’s mouth was best summarized by the Fed chair’s own mouthpiece, WSJ’s Nick Timiraos: “Powell on changing the Fed’s 2% inflation target: “We’re not going to consider that under any circumstances.”

Deportations Plunge Under Biden In US Interior: Data

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Deportations have plunged by up to 100 percent in U.S. counties under President Joe Biden, according to newly released data.

Illegal immigrants wait in a holding cell at a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) processing center on April 11, 2018. (John Moore/Getty Images)Deportations, or the removal of illegal immigrants, have dropped by as much as 95 percent in U.S. states, the data show. And in counties across the country, far fewer illegal aliens are being kicked out of the country.

The Center for Immigration Studies, which obtained and released the data, pointed to Howard County, Texas, as an example.

In the county, which has about 35,000 residents, 655 illegal aliens were removed from January through September 2019, when President Donald Trump was in …

Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/deportations-plunge-under-biden-us-interior-data

Coast-To-Coast Winter Storm Sets Crosshairs On Northeast

A destructive storm traversing the US unleashed blizzard conditions across parts of the Great Plains, spawned deadly tornadoes in the South, and has the Northeast in its crosshairs later this week.

Eastern Wyoming, western South Dakota, western Nebraska, and southeastern Montana have blizzard warnings for the second day Wednesday.

To the south, the huge storm unle …

Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/coast-coast-winter-storm-sets-crosshairs-northeast

Who is striking? How Thursday 15 December’s walkouts will affect you

What you need to know about the nurses’ strike in England, Wales and NI – by the BBC’s Zoe Conway.

Read more at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-63976253?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA

Fed hikes rates again and warns of more rises

The US central bank raised its key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points.

Read more at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63977120?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA

Twitter suspends @ElonJet account that tracked owner Elon Musk’s private plane

Twitter owner Elon Musk had previously said he would not take the step as he values free speech.

Read more at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-63978323?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA

Nifty forms doji candle. What traders should do on Thursday

“Nifty is now placed at the crucial resistance of 18,650 level and is not showing any strength to surpass the hurdle decisively. A sustainable up move from here could confirm an upside breakout of the resistance and any failure is likely to result in minor downward correction ahead,” said Nagaraj Shetti of HDFC Securities.

Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/tech-view-nifty-forms-doji-candle-on-daily-charts-what-traders-should-do-on-thursday/articleshow/96227498.cms

This PSU bank stock doubled in just one month. What’s driving the rally?

Morgan Stanley analysts said PSU banks should see relatively higher margin expansion compared to many private banks over F22-F24, reflecting a higher starting point of liquidity, sharp moderation in NPA formation, reducing interest income reversals and lower share of wholesale deposits relative to select private banks.

Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/this-psu-bank-stock-doubles-in-just-one-month-whats-driving-the-rally/articleshow/96218899.cms

Two-day Finbridge Expo to be held in Mumbai on December 17-18

Catering exclusively to the financial services & technology industry, Finbridge Expo has become a mainstream platform for many financial service providers to showcase their products and services. The event would be held from December 17-18 at Nehru Centre, Worli, Mumbai from 17th – 18th December.

Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/two-day-finbridge-expo-to-be-held-in-mumbai-on-december-17-18/articleshow/96222104.cms

After the Fed, the ECB and the Bank of England are set to lift interest rates. Here’s what to expect.

The BoE will deliver its decision at 7 a.m. and the ECB at 8:15 a.m. Eastern on Thursday.

Read more at: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B20C06575-04D4-B545-7168-DBEAE4F2CC4D%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1

Market Extra: U.S. bonds wrap up worst year on record. Here’s what may be in store for 2023.

Analysts see inflation easing further off four-decade highs in 2023, obviating the need for the Federal Reserve to keep aggressively hiking rates next year.

Read more at: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B20C06575-04D4-B545-7164-7EFC90457420%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1

The Margin: It’s Argentina vs. France in the World Cup final: Here’s everything to know about the match

Your guide to the kickoff time, who’s favored to win and more. The teams, led by Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappé, were favorites heading into the tournament.

Read more at: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B20C06575-04D4-B545-7169-51D092CF03AE%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1

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