Here is what we are paying attention to tonight (Updated at 5:40 pm EST December 2, 2022) and the next 48 hours from Friday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. We may do some additional updating on this article but it will be replaced tonight or early Saturday morning with the 28-Day Outlook so look for it Econcurrents.com Author Sig Silber.
...Critical Fire Weather threat for parts of the Central Plains... ...Coastal rain and heavy mountain snow likely in the West... ...Cool down in store for northern tier and eastern half of country this weekend...
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast (It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both.
Warm, dry and windy conditions, caused by the emergence of a strong cold front from the Rockies will contribute to a critical fire weather threat for parts of southeastern Colorado and southwestern Kansas this afternoon. High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are in effect for much of the Central Plains extending from southeastern Wyoming to the Texas Panhandle. Windy conditions should let up early Saturday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will focus along the aforementioned cold front as it pushes east into the Midwest and East Coast through Saturday. Light to moderate lake effect snow will develop over portions of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan over the next couple of days as winds out of the northwest advect over the relatively warm Lake Superior waters. A slow moving upper-level low will direct Pacific moisture and a low pressure system at the West Coast over the next couple of days. Coastal rain and mountain snow will begin over the Pacific Northwest tonight and end by tomorrow morning. The heaviest snow is likely to occur over the Olympic mountains of Washington where between 6-12 inches are possible. Coastal/low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow will develop over California on Saturday as the upper low taps subtropical Pacific moisture. Some parts of the northern and central-southern California coast may receive between 1-3 inches of rain by Sunday night. Heavy snow picks up over the Sierra late Saturday and into Sunday where between 2-3 feet of snow is likely by Sunday night. Elsewhere, warmer than normal temperatures are likely to come to an end across the Plains tonight as the aforementioned cold front sweeps through the region. The eastern third of the country will suffer the same fate as the Plains on Saturday night as the cold front accelerates off into the Western Atlantic. Rainfall activity picks up over the Southeast early next week.
Current Three-day forecast of heavy precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Maps that relate the forecast to geography can be found by clicking Here for Day 1 and Here for Day 2.
Friday Night
Saturday
Here is a 60-hour animated forecast map that shows how the short-term forecast is expected to play out
If it needs to be updated click here.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
Click HERE to update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast
(This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here This is a new approach and covers weeks 2 and 3 not weeks 1 and 2. It has more information but I am having trouble getting used to it. As usual, it comes with a discussion which is below
Detailed Maps and Reports for the Western Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans
Below are four maps that summarize the situation for the Atlantic, Eastern, Central Pacific, and Western Pacific. Additional information can be accessed by clicking HERE
First the Atlantic
Click to view the forecast map and have access to additional information https://www.nhc .noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin= atlc&fdays=5
Then Eastern Pacific
Click to view the forecast map and have access to additional information https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5
Then Central Pacific
Click to view the forecast map and have access to additional information https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=cpac&fdays=5
And the Western Pacific
Click to view the forecast map and have access to additional information https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html
Some Intermediate-Term Outlooks
Links to “Outlook” maps and discussions for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information from deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
You have to click on the links because they do not update automatically and I do not want to have stale images in the article. But it is not difficult to click on a link and you get a large image plus a discussion. On Fridays in a separate article, we will show the images and provide a link in this article that article. But remember what you will see is the images as of Friday. But here you can get the current images simply by clicking on them. Then hit the return arrow at the upper left of your screen to return to the article. You will not find this information easily anywhere else.
| There was a drastic change in the forecast from Friday to Monday so you may want to click on the above links to see the current outlook. We show the maps in the weekend edition of our weather reporting. It is not possible at this time for us to provide all of the weather maps every day but we provide the links so readers can click on the links and view them. |
Worldwide Weather (The U.S. is part of the World so the U.S. forecast is included in these maps)
Below maps are the short-term forecast for precipitation and 10-day forecast for temperature and precipitation. I update them daily but if you are looking at an out-of-date version of this article the current forecast maps can be obtained HERE.
Month to Date Information
Month to date Temperature can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Month to date Precipitation can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthPNormUS.png
