Headlines:
Oil Prices Climb On A Bounty Of Bullish Catalysts
Soaring Battery Demand And Ukraine Conflict Sends Nickel Prices To Decade High
COVID infections plummet 90% from U.S. pandemic high, states lift mask mandates
Pre-Amble To WW3 Sends Stocks & Bonds Lower; Gold & Crude Higher
Today is a Twosday unlike any other: 2/22/22 and fittingly a Tuesday. I can hardly wait for 2-22-2222.
Early in today’s session the S&P 500 and NASDAQ reached for the green only to follow the DOW down in a graceful trend. Afternoon antics saw the three main indexes rise to halve the session’s lows only to reverse during the last 20 minutes of trading. The three major indexes closed about 25% off session lows at their 200 day moving averages in a last moment frenzy of trading upwards.
Wall Street closed down as Russia-Ukraine tensions escalate and Biden said U.S. will sanction Russian financial firms, sovereign debt and individuals. U.S. consumer confidence reporting earlier shows a sipping trend and migration to the South fuels house price inflation.
WTI oil soars 91.82, gold remains above 1901, silver retreats from 24.36 earlier to 24.17 indicating further migration to safer havens. DOW’s 483 point drop was led by losses for Home Depot and Boeing exacerbated by Russia-Ukraine tensions. Note the red volume remains moderate, not at all in a panic fall mode.
As usual, we have included below the headlines and news summaries moving the markets today.
The Market in Perspective
Here are the headlines moving the markets. | |
Russias Natural Gas Will Be Almost Impossible To ReplaceOne of the worlds largest liquefied natural gas exporters, Qatar, can divert only 10-15 percent of its LNG cargo contracts to other destinations, Qatari Energy Minister Saad al-Kaabi said on Tuesday amid the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, adding that replacing Russian gas deliveries to Europe in the short term is almost impossible. The energy markets reacted on Tuesday after Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine and ordered troops in them, with oil prices soaring close Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Russias-Natural-Gas-Will-Be-Almost-Impossible-To-Replace.html |
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Soaring Battery Demand And Ukraine Conflict Sends Nickel Prices To Decade HighNickel prices soared to the highest level in more than a decade amid skyrocketing demand for electric cars, as the Ukraine crisis added to supply concerns. The combination of nickel-cobalt aluminum is the chemistry behind electric car batteries. Nickel is one of the crucial metals by mass in lithium-ion battery cathodes. Rapidly increasing demand for electric cars has tightened supplies for the metal and pushed prices on the London Metal Exchange to levels not seen since 2011. Besides rising electric car popularity, the crisis over Ukraine Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Soaring-Battery-Demand-And-Ukraine-Conflict-Sends-Nickel-Prices-To-Decade-High.html |
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Oil Prices Climb On A Bounty Of Bullish CatalystsOil prices appear to be on an unstoppable march toward $100, with Ukraine sending troops into Ukraine, OPEC failing to hit its production targets, and industry CEOs predicting still higher prices. – Oil prices rose to their highest level since 2014 after Moscow recognized the independence of the breakaway regions of Donetsk and Luhansk and moved its troops into eastern Ukraine, aggravating European supply concerns.- Spot Brent prices have been trading above the $100 per barrel since last week, now even ICE Brent futures seem to be climbing Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Oil-Prices-Climb-On-A-Bounty-Of-Bullish-Catalysts.html |
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Bank Of America: The Ukraine Crisis Could Send Oil Prices $20 HigherOil prices could jump by up to another $20 per barrel if the Russia-Ukraine crisis escalates further, according to Bank of America (BofA) Global Research. The latest escalation of the Russia-Ukraine standoff sent oil prices surging close to $100 a barrel early on Tuesday. Brent Crude prices hit a new seven-year high of $99.50 before easing to $97 per barrel. Late on Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized two separatist regions in eastern Ukraine and ordered the deployment of troops there in the most serious escalation of the crisis Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Bank-Of-America-The-Ukraine-Crisis-Could-Send-Oil-Prices-To-120.html |
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Banks Have Spent $1.5 Trillion On Coal Since 2019As the global green energy transition has gained traction, the movement away from fossil fuels and toward renewable and low-carbon energy sources has been marked by ups and downs and wide gaps between rhetoric and practice. Public and private leaders of policy and industry alike have been (relatively) quick to make climate pledges and align themselves on the side of decarbonization, but actual action plans and concrete steps toward sweeping and lasting change have been harder to come by. In a certain sense, this is a very understandable dilemma; Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Coal/Banks-Have-Spent-15-Trillion-On-Coal-Since-2019.html |
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Ukraine Conflict And Inflation Fears Could Push Gold Prices Above $2,000Gold prices have rebounded this month, with the precious metal glittering in the gloom amid escalating tensions between Russia and the West. The commodity has soared from $1,791 per ounce at the end of January to $1,904 earlier this week, with prices currently hovering around the $1,900 milestone. The Kremlins positioning of nearly 200,000 troops within close proximity to Ukraines borders, followed by Putins decision to recognize the independence of two breakaway rebel-held states has provided gold with fresh impetus from nervous Read more at: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Ukraine-Conflict-And-Inflation-Fears-Could-Push-Gold-Prices-Above-2000.html |
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One key to Home Depot’s growth strategy: Nabbing bigger orders from home professionalsThe home improvement retailer is building supply chain hubs that can accommodate large orders, such as thousands of square feet of flooring. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/home-depot-wants-to-win-home-professionals-bigger-orders.html |
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Covid infections plummet 90% from U.S. pandemic high, states lift mask mandatesAs omicron wave fades, the U.S. is trying to move past the crisis mentality that has gripped the nation for two years. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/covid-infections-plummet-90percent-from-us-pandemic-high-states-lift-mask-mandates.html |
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From Tesla to Jeep: The end of 3G networks is a problem for millions of car ownersMillions of vehicles will lose some emergency and convenience features as AT&T and other carriers discontinue their 3G networks. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/from-tesla-to-jeep-the-end-of-3g-networks-is-a-problem-for-millions-of-car-owners.html |
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Airbus plans to test hydrogen engine on A380 jumbo jet to fly in 2026Airbus is working with engine maker CFM, a joint venture of General Electric-Safran for the modified A380 plane. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/-airbus-plans-to-test-hydrogen-engine-on-a380-jumbo-jet-to-fly-mid-decade.html |
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Fatburger parent’s stock craters after company discloses investigation into CEOFat Brands said it is cooperating with the investigation. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/fatburger-parents-stock-craters-after-company-discloses-investigation-into-ceo.html |
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How Americans can save money when choosing a health insurance planA large study of a Fortune 100 company found that more than 60% of participants chose the wrong health insurance plan for their needs. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/picking-best-health-insurance-plan.html |
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Don’t panic. Here’s how to keep your emotions out of your investment decisionsIt’s normal to panic. The key is not to act on it, says psychologist Brad Klontz. Here are his techniques to stop emotions from ruling your financial life. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/how-to-control-your-emotions-during-stock-market-volatility.html |
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Peloton resolves major outage after connected fitness classes went offlinePeloton’s connected fitness services appear to be working again for most users, after the company suffered a major outage Tuesday morning. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/peloton-hit-by-major-outage-company-says-investigating-the-issue.html |
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Here’s why Macy’s isn’t splitting its online business from its storesMacy’s said it will forge ahead as one retailer, despite pressure from activist Jana Partners to split into two entities. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/heres-why-macys-isnt-splitting-its-online-business-from-its-stores.html |
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Supreme Court takes up clash over Colorado law’s protection for same-sex weddingsThe high court will hear the challenge to a Colorado law that bars businesses from refusing to serve customers based on their sexual orientation. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/supreme-court-takes-up-clash-over-colorado-laws-protection-for-same-sex-weddings.html |
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Toyota and Yamaha are developing a hydrogen-fueled V8 engineThe notion of powering an internal combustion engine with hydrogen is not a new one. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/toyota-commissions-yamaha-motor-to-develop-hydrogen-fueled-engine.html |
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Holiday weekend air travel surges to highest levels since Thanksgiving as Covid cases continue to dropAirline executives have said they are logging strong late winter and spring bookings. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/us-air-travel-surges-as-covid-cases-continue-to-drop.html |
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Krispy Kreme reports first quarterly profit since going public, fueled by strong holiday salesKrispy Kreme reported its first quarterly profit since going public again but fell short of Wall Street’s expectations for its earnings. Read more at: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/22/krispy-kreme-reports-first-quarterly-profit-since-going-public-fueled-by-strong-holiday-sales.html |
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Pre-Amble To WW3 Sends Stocks & Bonds Lower; Gold & Crude HigherPre-Amble To WW3 Sends Stocks & Bonds Lower; Gold & Crude HigherThe main pain felt in the world from Putin’s actions so far has been in Russian stocks and the Ruble, but a lack ofr substance to Biden’s sanctions offered some respite late on to the risk-off day…
MOEX is down around 30% from its highs, the biggest drawdown since 2014 (but we note MOEX rallied late on after Biden’s speech)… Source: Bloomberg And the Ruble is down, but interestingly rallied late on today as Biden spoke prompting markets to unwind some geopolitical risk premium on the damp-squid Biden release (No major banks targeted, No energy sanction beyond NS2, No SWIFT payment system threats/action)… Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/putins-pre-amble-ww3-sends-stocks-bonds-lower-gold-crude-higher |
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“Very Similar To 2018”: Why Wall Street’s Biggest Bear Sees Stocks Tumbling To 3,800 By Late March“Very Similar To 2018”: Why Wall Street’s Biggest Bear Sees Stocks Tumbling To 3,800 By Late MarchNow that a cottage industry has emerged practically overnight, with Wall Street firms rushing to offer their predictive services as to what will happen as a result of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (a conflict most of them dismissed ahead of time), and how various markets will respond to further escalation and de-escalation (such as Goldman), one bank is refreshingly honest in its admission that it doesn’t really know what happens next. In his latest Weekly Warm-Up note, Morgan Stanley chief equity strategist Michael Wilson – a/k/a Wall Street’s Biggest Bear – writes that over the past few weeks, “Russia/Ukraine headlines have taken center stage for markets but our work suggests slowing growth is just as important. While we have no edge on whether Russia will invade Ukraine, a lot has been priced.” According to Wilson, “while we have no particular edge in predicting what happens next in the Russia/Ukraine situation, we’re not sure anyone really does.” Instead, in situations like this, he says that he look to the markets for insights, as the wisdom of crowds often has a better chance of predicting the outcome than we do. But on that score, “it’s messy, too. While there has been a flight to safety in Gold and Treasuries, Brent crude has stalled out in the low 90s and shows signs of exhaustion on some technical indicators (DeMark and oscillator divergences).” “The bottom line,” according to Wislon, is that “the markets are sending mixed signals in our view.” Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/very-similar-2018-why-wall-streets-biggest-bear-sees-stocks-tumbling-3800-late-march |
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Canadian Lawmaker Claims Single Mom Had Bank Account Frozen After Donating $50 To Freedom ConvoyCanadian Lawmaker Claims Single Mom Had Bank Account Frozen After Donating $50 To Freedom ConvoyAuthored by Katabella Roberts via The Epoch Times, Canadian politician Mark Strahl on Feb. 20 claimed that a single mom with a minimum wage job had her bank account frozen after she “legally” donated $50 to the Freedom Convoy. Strahl, a Conservative, took to Twitter to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for the Emergencies Act, which was invoked for the first time in Canada’s history to address the impact of the ongoing protests against COVID-19 mandates and restrictions by truckers and their supporters.
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Qatar Says It Can’t Replace Russian Gas Supplies To EuropeQatar Says It Can’t Replace Russian Gas Supplies To EuropeThis morning, the FT summarized well the problem facing Europe as it decides whether to unleash draconian sanctions on Russia:
Needless to say, the underlying logic behind this strategy is not lost on the Russians, and this morning none other than Putin’s right hand man Dmitry Medvedev trolled the west, tweeting that “German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has issued an order to halt the process of certifying the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline” and gloating: “welcome to the brave new world where Europeans are very soon going to pay €2.000 for … Read more at: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/qatar-says-it-cant-replace-russian-gas-supplies-europe |
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Russia’s plan to fight back against Western sanctionsPresident Putin has made changes to protect the Russian economy since it first was hit by sanctions in 2014. Read more at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-60480904?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA |
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Boots to sell £6 Covid tests ahead of rule changeFour-packs of lateral flow tests will be on sale for £17 from Wednesday despite free tests remaining until 1 April. Read more at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-60486323?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA |
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Ukraine-Russia tensions: Oil surges on supply fearsCrude oil prices rise on Ukraine crisis, prompting warnings of higher UK petrol prices. Read more at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-60473233?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA |
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Day Trading Guide: 2 stock recommendations for WednesdayIf bulls fail to protect this support of 16,800, corrections could extend to levels of 16,400 which was the low of December last year and then 16,000 a psychological support level. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/day-trading-guide-2-stock-recommendations-for-wednesday/articleshow/89752408.cms |
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Tech View: Nifty50 defends key support, forms bullish candleNifty50 has managed to defend the critical support of 16,800 level for the third time since January 25, said Mazhar Mohammad of Chartviewindia.in. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/tech-view-nifty50-defends-key-support-forms-bullish-candle/articleshow/89750304.cms |
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Five lessons from Shark Tank India for stock market investorsAlthough the show is designed as a platform for budding entrepreneurs to raise funds, new investors in the stock market can learn a lot from investing strategies from the sharks. Here are five such lessons from Shark Tank India episodes. Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/five-lessons-from-shark-tank-india-for-stock-market-investors/articleshow/89742433.cms |
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The Margin: Should Clarence Thomas resign? New York Times story about Supreme Court justice and his wife, conservative activist Ginni Thomas, sparks outcryThe New York Times probes Ginni Thomas’s role to keep Donald Trump as president, sparking calls for an investigation of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas. Read more at: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B20C05575-04D4-B545-798E-72B632DA7858%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1 |
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Commodities Corner: U.S. drivers brace for the highest prices in 9 years as oil approaches $100 a barrelU.S. drivers are looking at the highest prices for gasoline at the pump since at least 2013, with prices for oil eyeing $100 a barrel — a level it hasn’t reached in more than seven years — in the wake of Russia’s move into Ukraine. Read more at: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B20C05575-04D4-B545-798E-3AE929A65276%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1 |
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Economic Report: Home prices increase at fastest rate in 34 years in December, but rising mortgage rates remain a threatEconomists expect that the pace of home-price growth will slow in the face of rising interest rates. Read more at: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B20C05575-04D4-B545-7986-CA1A3399FE30%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1 |